,EPILOGUE #a1 ,*APT] #b 

#ahfiahfi 

,PEOPLE 3 

,AU?OR 3 ,LEO ,TOL/OY 

,TEXT 3 

,IF WE ASSUME AS ! HI/ORIANS DO ?AT GREAT M5 LEAD HUMANITY TO ! 
 ATTA9M5T ( C]TA9 5DS--! GREATNESS ( ,RUSSIA OR ( ,FRANCE1 ! 
 BALANCE ( P[] 9 ,EUROPE1 ! DIFFUSION ( ! IDEAS ( ! ,REVOLUTION1 
 G5]AL PROGRESS1 OR ANY?+ ELSE--!N IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO EXPLA9 
 ! FACTS ( HI/ORY )\T 9TRODUC+ ! CONCEPTIONS ( *ANCE & 
 G5IUS4 

,IF ! AIM ( ! ,EUROPEAN W>S AT ! BEG9N+ ( ! N9ETE5? C5TURY 
 HAD BE5 ! AGGR&IZEM5T ( ,RUSSIA1 ?AT AIM MI<T HAVE BE5 
 ACCOMPLI%$ )\T ALL ! PREC$+ W>S & )\T ! 9VASION4 ,IF 
 ! AIM WAS ! AGGR&IZEM5T ( ,FRANCE1 ?AT MI<T HAVE BE5 ATTA9$ 
 )\T ! ,REVOLUTION & )\T ! ,EMPIRE4 ,IF ! AIM WAS ! 
 DISSEM9ATION ( IDEAS1 ! PR9T+ PRESS C\LD HAVE ACCOMPLI%$ ?AT 
 MU* BETT] ?AN W>F>E4 ,IF ! AIM WAS ! PROGRESS ( CIVILIZATION1 IT 
 IS EASY TO SEE ?AT !RE >E O!R WAYS ( DIFFUS+ CIVILIZATION MORE 
 EXP$I5T ?AN BY ! DE/RUCTION ( WEAL? & ( HUMAN LIVES4 

,:Y DID IT HAPP5 9 ?IS & NOT 9 SOME O!R WAY8 

,BECAUSE IT HAPP5$ SO6 0,*ANCE CREAT$ ! SITUATION2 
 G5IUS UTILIZ$ IT10 SAYS HI/ORY4 

,BUT :AT IS *ANCE8 ,:AT IS G5IUS8 

,! WORDS *ANCE & G5IUS DO NOT D5OTE ANY REALLY EXI/+ ?+ & 
 !RE=E CANNOT BE DEF9$4 ,?OSE WORDS ONLY D5OTE A C]TA9 /AGE ( 
 UND]/&+ ( PH5OM5A4 ,I DO NOT KN[ :Y A C]TA9 EV5T OCCURS2 ,I 
 ?9K ?AT ,I CANNOT KN[ IT2 SO ,I DO NOT TRY TO KN[ IT & ,I TALK AB\T 
 *ANCE4 ,I SEE A =CE PRODUC+ EFFECTS BEYOND ! SCOPE ( ORD9>Y HUMAN 
 AG5CIES2 ,I DO NOT UND]/& :Y ?IS OCCURS & ,I TALK ( G5IUS4 

,TO A H]D ( RAMS1 ! RAM ! H]DSMAN DRIVES EA* EV5+ 9TO A SPECIAL 
 5CLOSURE TO FE$ & ?AT BECOMES TWICE AS FAT AS ! O!RS MU/ SEEM TO 
 BE A G5IUS4 ,& IT MU/ APPE> AN A/ONI%+ CONJUNCTION ( G5IUS ) 
 A :OLE S]IES ( EXTRAORD9>Y *ANCES ?AT ?IS RAM1 :O 9/EAD ( 
 GETT+ 9TO ! G5]AL FOLD EV]Y EV5+ GOES 9TO A SPECIAL 5CLOSURE 
 :]E !RE >E OATS--?AT ?IS V]Y RAM1 SWELL+ ) FAT1 IS 
 KILL$ = MEAT4 

,BUT ! RAMS NE$ ONLY CEASE TO SUPPOSE ?AT ALL ?AT HAPP5S TO !M 
 HAPP5S SOLELY = ! ATTA9M5T ( !IR %EEPI% AIMS2 !Y NE$ ONLY 
 ADMIT ?AT :AT HAPP5S TO !M MAY ALSO HAVE PURPOSES BEYOND !IR K51 
 & !Y WILL AT ONCE P]CEIVE A UNITY & COH]5CE 9 :AT HAPP5$ TO 
 ! RAM ?AT WAS FATT5$4 ,EV5 IF !Y DO NOT KN[ = :AT PURPOSE !Y 
 >E FATT5$1 !Y WILL AT LEA/ KN[ ?AT ALL ?AT HAPP5$ TO ! RAM 
 DID NOT HAPP5 ACCID5TALLY1 & WILL NO LONG] NE$ ! CONCEPTIONS ( 
 *ANCE OR G5IUS4 

,ONLY BY R5\NC+ \R CLAIM TO DISC]N A PURPOSE IMM$IATELY 9TELLIGIBLE 
 TO US1 & ADMITT+ ! ULTIMATE PURPOSE TO BE BEYOND \R K51 MAY WE 
 DISC]N ! SEQU5CE ( EXP]I5CES 9 ! LIVES ( HI/ORIC *>ACT]S 
 & P]CEIVE ! CAUSE ( ! EFFECT !Y PRODUCE 79COMM5SURABLE ) 
 ORD9>Y HUMAN CAPABILITIES71 & !N ! WORDS *ANCE & G5IUS 
 BECOME SUP]FLU\S4 

,WE NE$ ONLY CONFESS ?AT WE DO NOT KN[ ! PURPOSE ( ! ,EUROPEAN 
 CONVULSIONS & ?AT WE KN[ ONLY ! FACTS--?AT IS1 ! MURD]S1 
 FIR/ 9 ,FRANCE1 !N 9 ,ITALY1 9 ,AFRICA1 9 ,PRUSSIA1 9 ,AU/RIA1 9 
 ,SPA91 & 9 ,RUSSIA--& ?AT ! MOVEM5TS FROM ! WE/ TO ! 
 EA/ & FROM ! EA/ TO ! WE/ =M ! ESS5CE & PURPOSE ( !SE 
 EV5TS1 & NOT ONLY %ALL WE HAVE NO NE$ TO SEE EXCEPTIONAL ABILITY & 
 G5IUS 9 ,NAPOLEON & ,ALEX&]1 BUT WE %ALL BE UNABLE TO CONSID] !M 
 TO BE ANY?+ BUT LIKE O!R M51 & WE %ALL NOT BE OBLIG$ TO HAVE 
 REC\RSE TO *ANCE = AN EXPLANATION ( ?OSE SMALL EV5TS :I* MADE 
 !SE PEOPLE :AT !Y W]E1 BUT IT WILL BE CLE> ?AT ALL ?OSE SMALL 
 EV5TS W]E 9EVITABLE4 

,BY DISC>D+ A CLAIM TO KN[L$GE ( ! ULTIMATE PURPOSE1 WE %ALL 
 CLE>LY P]CEIVE ?AT JU/ AS ONE CANNOT IMAG9E A BLOSSOM OR SE$ = ANY 
 S+LE PLANT BETT] SUIT$ TO IT ?AN ?OSE IT PRODUCES1 SO IT IS 
 IMPOSSIBLE TO IMAG9E ANY TWO PEOPLE MORE COMPLETELY ADAPT$ D[N TO ! 
 SMALLE/ DETAIL = ! PURPOSE !Y HAD TO FULFILL1 ?AN ,NAPOLEON & 
 ,ALEX&] ) ALL !IR ANTEC$5TS4 

,FROM 3 ,GUT5B]G4ORG4 

,*RONOLOGY 3 
,NOVEMB] #c1 #ahfh 3 ,EPILOGUE #a1 ,*APT] #b -- ,PUBLICATION4 
,FEBRU>Y #a#a1 #bag 3 ,EPILOGUE #a1 ,*APT] #b -- ,ADD$4 

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