,9TRODUCTION 
,! ,%E] ,CLIFF ,FACE 

,PEOPLE 3 

,AU?OR 3 ,C>NE ,ROSS 

,TEXT 3 

,9,T,R,O,D,U,C,T,I,O,N3 ,! ,%,E,] ,C,L,I,F,F ,F,A,C,E 

,SOME /ORIES FROM ! Y\NG TW5TY-FIR/ C5TURY3 

,:5 ! ,H#a,N#a 0SW9E FLU0 VIRUS /RUCK ,MEXICO 9 E>LY #b#i1 IT TOOK ONLY H\RS & DAYS TO SPREAD TO EV]Y CONT95T 9 ! WORLD EXCEPT UNPOPULAT$ ,ANT>CTICA4 ,AU?ORITIES /RUGGL$ TO CONTA9 ! SPREAD ( ! DISEASE4 ,DESP]ATE TO PREV5T ! IMPORT ( 9FECTION1 SOME GOV]NM5TS RESORT$ TO AIM+ REMOTE !RMOMET]S AT >RIV+ AIR PASS5G]S TO MEASURE !IR BODY TEMP]ATURE4 ,! ,WORLD ,HEAL? ,ORGANIZATION1 RESPONSIBLE = GLOBAL COORD9ATION ( ! FI<T AGA9/ DISEASE1 ADMITT$ SOME MON?S AFT] ! FIR/ \TBREAK ?AT IT HAD BE5 UNABLE TO KEEP UP ) ! VA/ FL[ ( DATA FROM NATIONAL HEAL? BODIES4 ,! VIRUS1 IT LAT] APPE>$1 WAS SPREAD+ \T ( CONTROL4 

,ONE ,SUNDAY ?AT SAME YE>1 A PREA*] FROM A ,SIKH SECT WAS ATTACK$ DUR+ A S]VICE 9 ,VI5NA1 ,AU/RIA4 ,SANT ,RAMA ,N& WAS SET UPON BY SIX M5 >M$ ) KNIVES & A PI/OL & DI$ E>LY ! NEXT DAY4 ,)9 A FEW H\RS1 WIDESPREAD RIOTS HAD BROK5 \T ACROSS ! ,PUNJAB1 :]E ! PREA*]'S SECT WAS BAS$4 ,BY NI<TFALL--SOME SIX H\RS AFT] ,SANT ,RAMA ,N& HAD DI$--SEV]AL PEOPLE HAD BE5 KILL$ 9 TURMOIL ?AT HAD CONVULS$ ,PUNJABI T[NS & CITIES4 ,?\S&S ( ,SIKHS TOOK TO ! /REETS1 CLA%+ ) POLICE & SETT+ FIRE TO BUILD+S & VEHICLES4 ,MAJOR HI<WAYS W]E BLOCK$ BY BONFIRES ( TIRES & /ICKS4 ,TRA9S W]E ATTACK$ 9 SEV]AL PLACES4 ,! AU?ORITIES HAD LITTLE OR NO W>N+ ( ! \TBREAK4 

,ONE AFT]NOON 9 #b#a1 IT TOOK LESS ?AN ?IRTY M9UTES = ! ,D[ ,JONES ,9DU/RIAL ,AV]AGE TO FALL NE>LY A ?\S& PO9TS--! BIGGE/ ONE-DAY PO9TS DECL9E 9 ! ,D['S HI/ORY4 ,IT TOOK FIVE MON?S = REGULATORS TO EXPLA9 :AT HAPP5$4 ,ACCORD+ TO ! ,SECURITIES & ,EX*ANGE ,COMMISSION REPORT1 ! RAPID PLUNGE WAS TRIGG]$ BY A POORLY EXECUT$ SALE BY ONE MUTUAL FUND COMPANY4 ,! FIRM />T$ TO SELL @s#d4#a BILLION ( FUTURES CONTRACTS ?R\< AN ALGORI?MIC TRADE1 MI/AK5LY TAK+ ACC\NT ONLY ( VOLUME1 NOT TIME OR PRICE4 ,BUY]S1 9CLUD+ 0HI<-FREQU5CY0 TRAD]S :O MAKE RAPID HI<-VOLUME PUR*ASES & SALES TO EXPLOIT T9Y PRICE M>G9S 9 A DYNAMIC M>KET1 PUR*AS$ ! CONTRACTS4 ,AS SALES ( ! CONTRACTS ACCEL]AT$1 ! SELL]'S ALGORI?M RESPOND$ TO ! 9CREASE 9 VOLUME BY UNLOAD+ ! CONTRACTS FA/]1 PU%+ PRICES D[N FUR!R4 ,! LIQUIDITY CRUN* !N SPREAD TO ! EQUITY M>KET4 ,MANY TRAD]S )DREW FROM ! M>KET4 ,SOME REV]T$ TO MANUAL SY/EMS BUT C\LD NOT KEEP UP ) ! SPIKE 9 VOLUME4 ,AS ! M>KET DIV$1 %>ES 9 SOME H\SEHOLD NAME COMPANIES W]E SOLD = AS LITTLE AS A C5T4 ,! ,S,E,C'S REPORT WAS WIDELY CRITICIZ$ = (F]+ NO EFFECTIVE PRESCRIPTION ON H[ TO PREV5T SU* DISRUPTION 9 FUTURE4.<#a.> 

,9 ! SUMM] ( #b#h1 FOOD PRICES 9CREAS$ DRAMATICALLY ACROSS ! GLOBE ?ANKS1 IT SEEMS1 TO A SUDD5 SURGE 9 OIL PRICES1 AL?\< ! CAUSES ( ! SPIKE >E NOT FULLY UND]/OOD4 ,ONE FACTOR MAY HAVE BE5 ! 9TRODUCTION ( SUBSIDIES = E?ANOL PRODUCTION 9 ! ,U4,S4 ,CONGRESS4 ,ANO!R POSSIBILITY1 SPECULATION4 ,! ROCKET+ PRICES CAUS$ RIOTS & POLITICAL T5SION 9 ,CAIRO & ,9DONESIA & MANY O!R C\NTRIES & RE9=C$ AN ALREADY EM]G+ TR5D ?AT SOME HAVE CALL$ A 0FOOD CRUN*0 ( /ATIC GLOBAL SUPPLY & RIS+ DEM&4.<#b.>  ,! PRICES ( COMMODITIES SU* AS RICE & :EAT JUMP$ TO RECORD HI<S1 TRIGG]+ FOOD RIOTS FROM ,HAITI TO ,EGYPT TO ,BANGLADE% & ,CAM]OON & PROMPT+ ,U,N APPEALS = FOOD AID = MORE ?AN ?IRTY C\NTRIES 9 SUB-,SAH>AN ,AFRICA4 

,9 RESPONSE TO ?IS PH5OM5ON1 COMPANIES & 9 SOME CASES GOV]NM5TS 9 MONEY-RI* BUT 0FOOD-POOR0 C\NTRIES1 LIKE ,S\? ,KOREA & ,SAUDI ,>ABIA1 BEGAN TO BUY UP L& & AGRICULTURAL RI<TS 9 MONEY-POOR BUT L&-RI* C\NTRIES4 ,! ,SAUDI ,/> COMPANY PLANS TO SP5D UP TO @s#b BILLION 9 ! NEXT FEW YE>S ACQUIR+ & DEVELOP+ #e1 HECT>ES ( L& 9 ,E?IOPIA1 ONE ( ! POORE/--& HUNGRIE/--9 ! WORLD4.<#c.>  ,UP TO FIFTY MILLION HECT>ES ( L&--AN >EA MORE ?AN D\BLE ! SIZE ( ,BRITA9--HAS BE5 B\<T 9 ! LA/ FEW YE>S OR IS UND] NEGOTIATION BY GOV]NM5TS & WEAL?Y 9VE/ORS1 (T5 5JOY+ /ATE SUBSIDIES4 ,! ,S\? ,KOREAN COMPANY ,DAEWOO B\<T ! RI<TS TO AS MU* AS HALF ( ,MADAGASC>'S AVAILABLE AGRICULTURAL L&4 ,?IS DEAL 9 TURN HELP$ TRIGG] A C\P AGA9/ ! ,MALAGASY GOV]NM5T ?AT SIGN$ ! DEAL4 ,?IS C\P PRODUC$ POLITICAL 9/ABILITY 9 ,MADAGASC> ?AT CONT9UES TO ! TIME ( ?IS WRIT+4 

,E>LI] 9 ! C5TURY1 AN ,EGYPTIAN >*ITECTURE /UD5T LIV+ 9 ,HAMBURG WAS HORRIFI$ BY REPORTS ( ,RUSSIA'S BRUTAL CAMPAIGN AGA9/ SEP>ATI/S1 MO/LY ,MUSLIM1 9 ,*E*NYA 9 ! ,S\!RN ,CAUCASUS1 A W> :OSE ATROCITIES W]E SC>CELY REPORT$ 9 ! 9=MATION-OV]LOAD$ CITADELS ( ! ,WE/4 ,! ,*E*NYA W> CONFIRM$ HIS VIEW ( ! GLOBAL OPPRESSION ( ,MUSLIMS4 ,MOHAM$ ,ATTA JO9$ A LOCAL MOSQUE :]E1 IT WAS LAT] LE>N$1 HE WAS 9TRODUC$ TO ! CONCEPT ( JIHAD1 A P]SONAL /RUGGLE = LIB]ATION4 

,ATTA MADE HIS WAY TO ,PAKI/AN1 TO JO9 A T]RORI/ NETWORK CALL$ 0,! ,BASE10 OR ,AL ,QA$A1 :I* HAD BE5 F\ND$--& FUND$--BY A MIDDLE-AG$ MAN :O HIMSELF HAD BE5 RADICALIZ$ BY ! ,SOVIET ,UNION'S OCCUPATION ( ,MUSLIM ,AF<ANI/AN--AS WELL AS ,AM]ICA'S MILIT>Y DOM9ATION ( HIS HOME C\NTRY1 ,SAUDI ,>ABIA4 ,9 ! ,AF<AN MUJAHIDE5 VICTORY OV] ! ,SOVIET OCCUPATION =CES1 ,OSAMA B9 ,LAD5 F\ND HIS 9SPIRATION TO SEEK A GLOBAL JIHAD4 ,MOHAM$ ,ATTA WAS TO BECOME ! PILOT ( ! ,AM]ICAN ,AIRL9ES ,BOE+ #gfg :I* CANNON$ 9TO ! NOR? T[] ( ,NEW ,YORK'S ,WORLD ,TRADE ,C5T]4 ,WALK+ TO WORK ?AT DREAD MORN+1 ,I HE>D HIS AIRCRAFT FLY OV]HEAD4 

,! S+UL> ACT ( ! #i_/#a#a ATTACKS HELP$ TRIGG] ! ALLI$ 9VASIONS ( TWO C\NTRIES1 & FUR!R MASSIVE1 COMPLEX & UN=ESEEABLE *ANGE4 ,! ATTACKS W]E BRILLIANTLY ANATOMIZ$ 9 ! ,U4,S4 ,CONGRESS #i_/#a#a ,COMMISSION ,REPORT1 :I* TOOK OV] EI<T HUNDR$ PAGES TO DESCRIBE ! ANTEC$5TS & *RONOLOGY ( ?IS ONE S+LE1 IF REM>KABLE1 EV5T--& ?AT WAS CONCISE4 

,MORE REC5TLY1 ! DEFAULTS ( A FEW SUBPRIME MORTGAGE HOLD]S CONC5TRAT$ 9 JU/ ?REE ,AM]ICAN /ATES TRIGG]$ 9 A V]Y %ORT SPACE ( TIME A GLOBAL ECONOMIC MELTD[N ?AT--AMONG MANY1 MANY O!R ?+S--BR\<T D[N SEV]AL LONG-E/ABLI%$ BANKS 9 ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES & NECESSITAT$ A @s#g BILLION BAIL\T ( O!R BANKS4 ,:5 CONFID5CE 9 ! ABILITY ( ,U4,S4 BANKS TO MEET !IR OBLIGATIONS COLLAPS$1 RAPID CONTRACTION ( CR$IT WAS CONTAGI\S ACROSS ! GLOBE1 DE/ROY+ 9 QUICK TIME BO? OV]LEV]AG$ BANKS1 & ! DEPOSITS ( !IR CU/OM]S4 ,BANKS 9 ,ICEL& FELL OV]NI<T1 ELIM9AT+ AT A /ROKE ! SAV+S ( DEPOSITORS 9 ! ,U,K4 ,! RAMIFICATIONS ( ?AT EV5T CONT9UE TO DELAY ,ICEL&'S 5TRY 9TO ! ,EUROPEAN ,UNION1 :ILE 9 ,BRITA9 ! CR$IT CRUN*1 AMONG O!R FACTORS1 HAS CONTRIBUT$ TO ! MO/ SEV]E AU/]ITY MEASURES & GOV]NM5T SP5D+ CUTS 9 MANY DECADES1 9CLUD+ A #g P]C5T CUT TO HI<] $UCATION BUDGETS4 ,9 ,HONG ,KONG1 ?\S&S ( SMALL 9VE/ORS & P5SION]S SUDD5LY LO/ !IR ,LEHMAN 0M9I-BONDS10 WOR? BILLIONS ( DOLL>S1 :5 ,LEHMAN ,BRO!RS1 F\ND$ 9 #a#h#e1 FELL 9 ! ,U4,S4.<#d.> 

,! ORIG9S ( ! 0CR$IT CRUN*0 W]E MANIFOLD & >E DEBAT$ /ILL4 ,GRE$Y L5D+ BY BANKS1 UNWISE BORR[+ BY HOMEBUY]S1 LOOS5+ LEGISLATION FROM GOV]NM5T1 5ACT$ ) ! WOR?Y 9T5TION ( 5ABL+ BROAD] HOME [N]%IP3 P]HAPS ALL ( !M PLAY$ A P>T4 ,BUT SOME HAVE SUGGE/$ A MORE DEEP-SEAT$ CAUSE--! GR[+ 9EQUALITY 9 ,AM]ICA BETWE5 ! RI* & EV]YONE ELSE1 :I* DROVE ! 9COME-/AGNANT MIDDLE CLASSES TO BORR[ EV] MORE TO MA9TA9 !IR LIV+ /&>DS AMID RIS+ CO/S4 

,ANO!R 9TRIGU+ FACTOR HAS BE5 B>ELY NOT$4 ,! /ATI/ICAL MODELS US$ BY ! BANKS TO ASSESS ! RISKS ( BUNDL$ MORTGAGES W]E \T ( DATE3 ,NOT ONLY DID !Y UND]E/IMATE ! VOLUME & RISK9ESS ( ! 9CREAS+LY POPUL> SUBPRIME MORTGAGES1 ! BANKS' MODELS ALSO UND]E/IMAT$ 9T]CONNECT$NESS )9 ! H\S+ & MORTGAGE M>KETS1 REGIONALLY & NATIONALLY4 ,! PREPOND]ANCE ( ! 0NO MONEY D[N0 HI< DEBT-TO-DEPOSIT SUBPRIME MORTGAGES MEANT ?AT ONLY A SMALL DIP 9 ! ECONOMY MADE HUGE NUMB]S ( MORTGAGES SUDD5LY UNAF=DABLE1 & ! BUY]S DEFAULT$4 ,! BANKS HAD UND]E/IMAT$ ! DEGREE TO :I* ONE ?+ W\LD LEAD QUICKLY TO MANY O!RS4 ,!Y UND]E/IMAT$ COMPLEXITY4 

,:ATEV] ! CAUSE1 NO GOV]NM5T WAS READY = ! CRA%1 :I* CAME ALMO/ )\T W>N+4 ,!N ,PRESID5T ,GEORGE ,W4 ,BU% SAID LAT] ?AT HE HAD BE5 0BL9DSID$0 BY ! CRISIS1 /AT+ ?AT HE 0ASSUM$ ANY MAJOR CR$IT TR\BLES W\LD HAVE BE5 FLAGG$ BY ! REGULATORS OR CR$IT AG5CIES40.<#e.>  ,! CASCAD+ & MULTIPLE EFFECTS ( ! 0CR$IT CRUN*10 MANY ( :I* HAVE YET TO BE FELT1 9CLUD$ ! LOSS ( T5S ( MILLIONS ( JOBS ACROSS ! GLOBE1 & AN IMMEASURABLE BUT NONE!LESS NOTABLE %IFT ( P[] FROM ,WE/ TO ,EA/1 AS ! ,U4,S4 RELI$ EV] MORE HEAVILY UPON ,*9A TO BUY UP ALMO/ A TRILLION DOLL>S' WOR? ( ,AM]ICAN GOV]NM5T DEBT TO F9ANCE ! GOV]NM5T BAIL\T4 

,! TORTUR$1 TWI/+ PA?S ( CAUSE TO EFFECT 9 !SE /ORIES ( ! TW5TY-FIR/ C5TURY >E DISC]NIBLE ONLY 9 RETROSPECT BY SEP>AT+ \T !SE ?READS FROM ! CONFUS+ RAT'S NE/ ( SIMULTANE\S EV5TS--ITSELF A SOME:AT >TIFICIAL & FALSIFY+ EX]CISE4 ,BUT !SE /ORIES >E NOT EXTRAORD9>Y4 ,!Y >E TYPICAL ( A VA/LY 9T]CONNECT$ AGE1 :]E BILLIONS & BILLIONS ( PEOPLE >E 9T]ACT+ CON/ANTLY1 A :OLLY UNPREC$5T$ PH5OM5ON :I* WE >E ONLY BEG9N+ TO UND]/&4 ,!SE EV5TS W]E NOT PR$ICTABLE BY MO/ CONV5TIONAL !ORIES ( POLITICS OR ECONOMICS4 

,SOME MAY SEE *AOS 9 !SE EV5TS1 OR PURELY R&OM CAUSE & EFFECT4 ,!SE EV5TS DO NOT SUGGE/ ! /RUCTUR$ ORD] ( PA/ EXP]I5CE--( UNITS1 BE !Y /ATES OR 9DIVIDUALS1 BEHAV+ ACCORD+ TO E/ABLI%$ !ORIES ( 9T]NATIONAL RELATIONS OR NEOCLASSICAL ECONOMICS1 PR$ICTABLE = ! MO/ P>T1 & COMPREH5SIBLE )9 \R EXI/+ MODELS4 ,BUT NEI!R >E !Y *AOS1 A R&OM1 MEAN+LESS MESS4 ,!Y >E SOME?+ ELSE4 ,?IS IS A NEW DISP5SATION--COMPLEXITY--REQUIR+ NEW TOOLS3 ! SCI5CE ( COMPLEX SY/EMS4 ,PIONE]S 9 MANY FIELDS >E US+ TE*NIQUES LIKE AG5T-BAS$ MODEL+ & NETWORK ANALYSIS TO BEG9 TO (F] P[]FUL NEW 9SI<TS 9TO ?IS MULTIPLY+ COMPLEXITY4 

,BUT ?IS NEW WORLD REQUIRES SOME?+ ELSE BEYOND NEW TOOLS ( 9T]PRETATION4 ,?IS WORLD IS DEFY+ ! ABILITY ( EXI/+ /RUCTURES & 9/ITUTIONS TO UND]/& & >BITRATE EV5TS EFFECTIVELY4 ,EV5 S5IOR GOV]NM5T (FICIALS CONFESS ! DECL9E ( /ATE P[]30 ,WE >E 9 A WORLD :]E GOV]NM5TS1 AS A :OLE1 HAVE LESS P[] ?AN !Y ONCE DID10 A S5IOR ,U4,S4 ,/ATE ,DEP>TM5T (FICIAL REC5TLY SAID1 S5SIBLY CONCLUD+1 0,LET'S TAKE ! WORLD AS WE N[ SEE IT40.<#f.>  ,CONFID5TIAL BRIEF+ PAP]S PREP>$ = ! ,U,N ,SECRET>Y-,G5]AL NOT$ ! DECL9+ IMPORTANCE NOT ONLY ( ! ,U,N ITSELF1 BUT ALSO ( GOV]NM5TS 9 MANAG+ ! WORLD'S MO/ PRESS+ POLITICAL1 ECONOMIC & 5VIRONM5TAL PROBLEMS1 OBS]V+ *E]ILY ?AT 0,\R PLANET'S ABILITY TO SU/A9 LIFE1 AS WE KN[ IT1 IS UND] 5ORM\S /RA940 .<#g.>  ,AS ,P>AG ,KHANNA HAS COMM5T$3 

,GLOBALIZATION IS444 DIFFUS+ P[] AWAY FROM ! WE/ 9 P>TICUL>1 BUT ALSO FROM /ATES & T[>DS CITIES1 COMPANIES1 RELIGI\S GR\PS1 HUMANIT>IAN NONGOV]NM5TAL ORGANIZATIONS & SUP]-EMP[]$ 9DIVIDUALS1 FROM T]RORI/S TO PHILAN?ROPI/S4 ,?IS =CE ( 5TROPY WILL NOT BE REV]S$ = DECADES--IF NOT = C5TURIES4.<#h.> 

,TIMO?Y ,G>TON ,A% HAS CALL$ ?IS WORLD 0NOT A NEW WORLD ORD] BUT A NEW WORLD DISORD]4 ,AN UN/ABLE KALEIDOSCOPE WORLD--FRACTUR$1 OV]HEAT$1 G]M9AT+ FUTURE CONFLICTS40.<#i.>  ,GOV]NM5TS FAIL$ TO PR$ICT ! CR$IT CRUN*1 AS !Y DID #i_/#a#a4 ,!IR BLUNT ME?ODS TO MANAGE BO? ECONOMIC VOLATILITY & T]RORISM--AS WELL AS O!R GLOBAL PROBLEMS-->E 9SUFFICI5T1 & SOMETIMES C\NT]PRODUCTIVE4 

,POLITICIANS >GUE ?AT ONLY IF !Y >E 9 P[] WILL DECISIONS BE ! RI<T ONES1 & ?US WE MU/ SUFF] T$I\S R\NDS ( FACILE POLITICAL >GUM5T OV] 5DUR+ & DEEP-SEAT$ PROBLEMS1 :5 CLOS] ANALYSIS ( !SE PROBLEMS LEADS TO ! MORE DI/URB+ CONCLUSION ?AT NO POLITICIAN & NO GOV]NM5T1 H[EV] WISE1 H[EV] RI<T1 IS ABLE TO SOLVE !M4 ,SOMEH[ WE KN[ ?IS4 ,FRU/RATION ) CONV5TIONAL POLITICS IS RIS+ EV]Y:]E1 DEPRESS+ VOT] TURN\T & FUEL+ POPUL> ANG]4 ,POLITICIANS TOO CAN S5SE ! MOOD1 BUT >E UNABLE TO (F] ANY PRESCRIPTION EXCEPT MORE ( ! SAME POLITICS1 P]HAPS SPIC$ ) A DANG]\S & HOLL[ POPULISM4 

,?IS NEW WORLD REQUIRES SOME?+ ELSE BEYOND MORE PROMISES1 SOME?+ BEYOND NEW !ORIES ( 9T]PRETATION1 SOME?+ ?AT MI<T1 JU/ MI<T1 MAKE US AT LA/ FEEL ?AT ! TOOLS MI<T FIT ! JOB4 ,?IS NEW WORLD REQUIRES A NEW POLITICS4 

,CLIMATE *ANGE1 T]RORISM1 CEASELESS W>S 9 PLACES ?AT DEFY UND]/&+ OR RESOLUTION & :]E VICTORY OR DEFEAT BO? SEEM F> AWAY1 A P]PETUAL ECONOMIC VOLATILITY4.<#a#e#i.> ,!SE >E N[ ALREADY FAMILI> PROBLEMS ( ?IS Y\NG & TURBUL5T C5TURY4 ,!Y >E EASY PROBLEMS TO DEF9E3 BORD]LESS1 A PRODUCT ( ! NEW 0GLOBALIZ$0 WORLD4 ,BUT AT ! SAME TIME !Y SEEM 9TRACTABLE3 ,!RE SEEMS V]Y LITTLE ?AT ANY 9DIVIDUAL CAN DO AB\T !M4 

,TAK+ !IR ALLOTT$ ROLE1 9/EAD GOV]NM5TS1 & ASSOCIATIONS ( GOV]NM5TS--! ,U,N1 ! ,E,U1 9T]NATIONAL CONF]5CES 9 ,COP5HAG5 OR ,DOHA--CLAIM ?AT !Y HAVE !SE PROBLEMS 9 H&4 ,EV]Y DAY WITNESSES A SUMMIT1 A /ATEM5T OR A RESOLUTION CLAIM+ TO ADDRESS !SE WORRY+ ILLS4 ,IT IS A NEV]-5D+ VIDEO-FE$ ( ACTIVITY1 T$I\S TO WAT* 9 DETAIL1 BUT NONE!LESS REASSUR+ 9 ITS UNCEAS+ ACTIVITY & TORR5T ( V]BIAGE--AT LEA/1 ?AT IS ! 9T5TION4 

0,TRU/ US10 ! /ATEM5TS SAY1 0WE HAVE !SE PROBLEMS UND] CONTROL40 ,BUT ! EVID5CE SUGGE/S O!RWISE1 MORE & MORE 9SI/5TLY4 ,MEASURE ! \TPUTS1 NOT ! PROMISES MADE4 ,TAKE TWO FAMILI> PROBLEMS4 

,AT ! #bi ,COP5HAG5 CLIMATE *ANGE SUMMIT1 AN 9T5SIVE TWO-YE> 9T]NATIONAL NEGOTIATION 9VOLV+ HUNDR$S ( DELEGATES FROM ALMO/ EV]Y C\NTRY1 & ?\S&S ( PRESSURE GR\PS & LOBBYI/S1 PRODUC$ AT ITS 5D A %ORT TWO-PAGE DOCUM5T :I*1 9 HA/ILY DRAFT$ & UNGRAMMATICAL PROSE1 (F]S ONLY ! MO/ G5]AL /ATEM5TS ( CONC]N AB\T ! PROBLEM ( CLIMATE *ANGE & NO B9D+ COMMITM5TS TO LIMIT C>BON EMISSIONS OR TO COMP5SATE ?OSE MO/ AFFECT$ BY ITS MANIFOLD IMPACTS4 

,DESPITE ! GLOBAL MEMB]%IP ( ! NEGOTIATION1 5COMPASS+ EV]Y C\NTRY 9 ! WORLD1 ! /ATEM5T WAS HA%$ \T 9 ! LA/ FEW H\RS ( ! CONF]5CE 9 A CLOS$ ROOM SESSION 9VOLV+ ,*9A1 ,BRAZIL1 ! ,U4,S4 & ,9DIA4 ,! NE$S ( ?OSE MO/ AFFECT$ BY CLIMATE *ANGE1 LIKE L[-LY+ ISL& /ATES OR ,BANGLADE% :I* >E ALREADY LOS+ L& TO RIS+ SEAS1 W]E IGNOR$4 

,! ,COP5HAG5 PROCESS HAD BE5 =MIDABLY COMPLICAT$1 9VOLV+ MULTIPLE 0TRACKS0 ( NEGOTIATION 9 AN ATTEMPT TO ADDRESS ! MANY DIFF]5T ASPECTS ( ! PROBLEM ( CLIMATE *ANGE1 9CLUD+ =E/S1 TE*NOLOGY TRANSF] & PROTECTION ( OCEANS AS WELL AS ! 0BIG PICTURE0 QUE/IONS ( C>BON EMISSIONS & H[ TO F9ANCE ! CO/S ( ADAPT+ TO ! EFFECTS ( RIS+ TEMP]ATURES4 ,DESPITE ! ?\S&S ( H\RS SP5T NEGOTIAT+ !SE SUBSIDI>Y ISSUES OV] ! PREVI\S TWO YE>S1 NONE ( !M WAS ADDRESS$ 9 ! F9AL TEXT4 

,9 ,CANCUN1 A YE> LAT]1 DELEGATES SUCCESSFULLY AGRE$ ?AT !IR /ATES WANT$ TO LIMIT GLOBAL W>M+ TO #b8,C--! 0DANG]0 LEVEL1 BEYOND :I*1 A REC5T PAP] 9 ! SCI5TIFIC J\RNAL ,NATURE W>N$1 W>M+ MAY 9CREASE BEYOND ANY CONTROL4 ,! CONF]5CE WAS WIDELY T\T$ AS A 0SUCCESS10 AS ! ,MEXICAN HO/S MANAG$ TO SECURE AGREEM5T ON KEY ISSUES1 9CLUD+ F9ANC+ = CLIMATE ADAPTATION 9 POOR] C\NTRIES4 ,BUT !RE WAS NO AGREEM5T ON H[ CLIMATE *ANGE MI<T BE PREV5T$--CONCRETE AGREEM5T ON ! C>BON EMISSIONS T>GETS ?AT SCI5TI/S CONCUR AS NECESS>Y4 ,AS ,! ,ECONOMI/ REPORT$1 ,CANCUN WAS SUCCESSFUL 9 RESCU+ ! ,U,N CLIMATE NEGOTIATIONS 0PROCESS02 ITS VALUE 9 RESCU+ ! CLIMATE WAS LESS CLE>4.<#a.> 

,REC5TLY1 ! ,U,N ,5VIRONM5T ,PROGRAM REPORT$ ?AT EV5 IF /ATES FULFILL$ ALL ( !IR COMMITM5TS TO R$UCE C>BON EMISSIONS1 9CLUD+ ?OSE MADE AT ,COP5HAG51 ! WORLD'S TEMP]ATURE W\LD /ILL MO/ LIKELY EXCE$ ! #b8,C 0DANG]0 LEVEL4 ,\TSIDE ( PR$ICTIONS & COMMITM5TS1 & 9 ! REAL WORLD ( ! ,E>?'S ATMOSPH]E1 :]E SUCCESS OR FAILURE IS TRULY MEASUR$1 ! CONC5TRATION ( C>BON 9 ! ATMOSPH]E HAS CONT9U$ TO RISE UNABAT$4 ,9 #a#i#i#b1 AT ! TIME ( ! FIR/ 9T]NATIONAL GA!R+ ( GOV]NM5TS TO ADDRESS CLIMATE *ANGE1.<#a#f.> ! CONC5TRATION ( C>BON 9 ! ATMOSPH]E WAS #c$ P>TS P] MILLION BY VOLUME4 ,BY #b#a1 IT WAS NE>LY #a P]C5T HI<]1 AN UNPREC$5T$LY RAPID 9CREASE4 

,MEAN:ILE1 9 ! GLOBAL ECONOMY1 ! YE>S ?AT IMM$IATELY FOLL[$ ! #b#h-#b#i CR$IT CRUN* WITNESS$ 9NUM]ABLE ,G#h1 ,G#b1 ,U,N & ,BASEL ,COMMITTEE DISCUSSIONS ATTEMPT+ TO AGREE ON NEW /&>DS & RULES TO PREV5T A RECURR5CE ( ! DEVA/AT+ CRA%4 ,BUT )9 ! CONFUS+ B>RAGE ( /ATEM5TS & COMMITM5TS ON NEW TASK =CES1 COMMITTEES & 0WAT*DOGS10 NO:]E TO BE F\ND WAS ! ONE SIMPLE MEASURE--SUB/ANTIALLY HI<] CAPITAL_/DEBT REQUIREM5TS = BANKS--?AT ALMO/ ALL DIS9T]E/$ ANALY/S BELIEVE W\LD ACTUALLY PREV5T A CRA% HAPP5+ AGA94 ,& !RE WAS A REASON = ?IS ABS5CE4 

,:ILE GLOBALIZATION 9T5SIFIES APACE1 ITS RIGORS & /RESSES EV] MORE EVID5T1 ITS REW>DS SEEM TO ACCRUE MO/LY TO A M9ORITY3 ! TOP #a P]C5T ( ! POPULATION 9 ! ,U4,S4 TOOK HOME NE>LY #be P]C5T ( ALL 9COME1 ! HI<E/ P]C5TAGE S9CE #a#i#b#h4.<#a#a.>  ,MIDDLE-CLASS 9COMES >E DECL9+1 BUT LIV+ EXP5SES >E NOT4 ,MEAN:ILE1 = MANY ( ! POORE/1 LIFE HAS ACTUALLY GOTT5 WORSE4 

,ACROSS ! GLOBE1 MORE ?AN ONE BILLION /ILL LIVE ON LESS ?AN ONE DOLL> P] DAY2 TWO BILLION LIVE ON A PA!TIC TWO DOLL>S P] DAY4 ,& :ILE IT IS EASY TO IGNORE ! MIS]IES ( LIFE 9 ,SOMALIA & ,BANGLADE%1 IT IS MORE A/ONI%+ ?AT 9 ,NEW ,YORK ,CITY ONE 9 FIVE *ILDR5 IS DEP5D5T ON FOOD /AMPS = SURVIVAL1 :ILE ,GOLDMAN ,SA*S BANK]S 5JOY BONUSES ( SOME @s#g1 EA* & H$GE FUND TRAD]S ?R[ P>TIES CO/+ HUNDR$S ( ?\S&S4 ,9 #b#a#a1 AS LEAD+ BANK]S DECL>$ ?AT ! 0YE>S ( APOLOGY0 %\LD BE OV]1.<#a#b.>  ONE /UDY %[$ ?AT SEV5 MILLION ( ! POORE/ ,BRITONS HAD SE5 !IR LIV+ /&>DS DECL9E BY A MASSIVE #a P]C5T OV] ! PREVI\S DECADE4.<#a#c.>  ,9 #b#i1 ONE 9 SEV5 ,AM]ICANS WAS LIV+ 9 POV]TY1 ! HI<E/ PROPORTION ( ! POPULATION = FIFTY YE>S4 ,9 SOME P>TS ( ,AM]ICA1 LIFE EXPECTANCY IS ACTUALLY DECL9+ ?ANKS TO POV]TY1 ?\< HEAL? C>E SP5D+ P] CAPITA--AV]AG$ ACROSS ! POPULATION--IS HI<] H]E ?AN ANY:]E ON E>?4 

,AS ! :OLE WORLD1 EXCEPT ,NOR? ,KOREA1 ADOPTS ! CAPITALI/ MODEL1 SU* 9EQUALITY IS RIS+ EV]Y:]E1 BO? BETWE5 & )9 C\NTRIES4 ,9 ,*9A1 ! 9TRODUCTION ( FREE M>KET ECONOMICS HAS FRE$ HUNDR$S ( MILLIONS FROM POV]TY4 ,BUT AT ! SAME TIME IT HAS CREAT$ ! WOR/ 9EQUALITY 9 ,ASIA1 AP>T FROM ,NEPAL1 UNTIL V]Y REC5TLY AN AUTOCRATIC MON>*Y3 ,(FICIAL E/IMATES SUGGE/ #a P]C5T ( ,*9ESE H\SEHOLDS 5JOY #d TO #f P]C5T ( TOTAL H\SEHOLD WEAL?4.<#a#d.>  ,9 ,9DIA1 POLITICIANS OBSESS AB\T HEADL9E ,G,D,P GR[? RATES1 & ! RI*E/ BUILD BILLION-DOLL> SKYSCRAP] H\SES1 BUT HUNDR$S ( MILLIONS REMA9 9 ABJECT POV]TY & MALN\RI%M5T--! CALORIE 9TAKE ( ! POORE/ HAS REMA9$ /AGNANT = OV] A DECADE1 & MORE ?AN HALF ( ,9DIA'S *ILDR5 UND] FIVE SUFF] /UNT+ & POOR BRA9 DEVELOPM5T4.<#a#e.>  ,EV5 9 ! SUPPOS$LY EGALIT>IAN ,NORDIC C\NTRIES1 ! GAP BETWE5 RI* & POOR IS GR[+ FA/4 ,WORLDWIDE1 A NEW TR5D HAS EM]G$1 B>ELY NOTIC$3 ,BEYOND A C]TA9 LEVEL ( DEVELOPM5T1 ?OSE AT ! TOP B5EFIT 5ORM\SLY1 ?OSE AT ! BOTTOM (T5 ACTUALLY DO WORSE1 :ILE ! 9COME ( ! BULK ( ! POPULATION /AYS MORE OR LESS /AGNANT4 

,IT IS LITTLE WOND]1 !N1 ?AT ?IS MODEL IS SO CONFID5TLY EXTOLL$ AS IDEAL BY ?OSE :O B5EFIT FROM IT4 ,SO (T5 >E ! VIRTUES ( ?IS SY/EM AV[$ ?AT IT HAS TAK5 ON ! *>ACT]I/ICS ( A MORAL SY/EM1 :]E ANY?+ DONE 9 ! NAME ( ?AT SY/EM1 H[EV] GROSS1 IS MORALLY JU/IFI$ AS P>T ( ! NECESS>Y ME*ANICS ( ! M>KET4 

,! FUTURE (F]S AN UNSETTL+ VISION ( EV] GREAT] COMPETITION = M>KETS & SC>CE RES\RCES4 ,! F]OCI\S CONTE/ ( ! GLOBAL M>KETPLACE IS LIKE BE+ *A9$ TO AN ACCEL]AT+ TREADMILL1 UND] CON/ANT PRESSURE TO CUT CO/S & 9V5T NEW PRODUCTS1 TRAPP$ BY A CEASELESS DESP]ATION TO ATTRACT CU/OM]S :O !MSELVES >E EV] LESS SATISFI$1 HOPP+ FROM PRODUCT TO PRODUCT 7AS SURVEYS REVEAL7 CRAV+ A SATIATION--A FULFILLM5T--!Y CAN NEV] F9D4 ,AS BILLIONS JO9 ! GLOBAL LABOR =CE1 NO JOB IS SECURE1 NO 9DU/RY IS /ABLE1 NO PR(ESSION MAY NOT ONE DAY FACE OBSOLESC5CE4 

,:ILE ECONOMIC 9SECURITY IS ON ! RISE1 SO TOO IS A MORE 9SIDI\S & EQUALLY P]MAN5T ANXIETY--POLITICAL 9SECURITY & VIOL5CE4 ,AS ,U4,S4 (FICIALS ) GREAT C&OR ADMITT$ AFT] #i_/#a#a1 WE >E 9 A 0,LONG ,W>0 ) GLOBAL T]RORI/S1 & IT SEEMS TO BE GETT+ LONG]4 ,! W> ) ,AL ,QA$A IS SPREAD+ ACROSS ! WORLD'S GEOGRAPHY1 AS ITS AFFILIATES META/ASIZE4 ,! 9VASION ( ,AF<ANI/AN :OSE RATIONALE ,I DELIV]$ TO ! ,U,N ONE W9T] MORN+1.<#a#f#a.> :OLLY JU/IFI$ TO REMOVE ! GOV]NM5T BRAZ5LY HO/+ \R ATTACK]S1 HAS SUCCE$$ NOT ONLY 9 P]PETUAT+ CIVIL W> 9 ,AF<ANI/AN BUT HAS ALSO TRIGG]$ ! SPREAD ( 9/ABILITY & EXTREME VIOL5CE TO ! BORD] >EAS & ACROSS ,PAKI/AN1 :]E N[ EV]Y MAJOR CITY HAS SE5 REPEAT$ SUICIDE ATTACKS ( HORRIFIC VIOL5CE4 

,9 ! 0HOMEL&10 VIOL5T JIHADI/S MAY BE F\ND NOT ONLY AMONG IMMIGRANTS & VISITORS1 BUT FROM ! RANKS ( \R [N POPULATION3 0,JIHAD ,JANE10 :O WAS RADICALIZ$ 9 H] ,PHILADELPHIA SUBURB2 ! ,U4,S4 ,>MY DOCTOR :O KILL$ ?IRTE5 & W\ND$ ?IRTY AT ,=T ,HOOD4 ,A ?IRD ( ALL *>G$ ,U4,S4 T]ROR SUSPECTS >E ,AM]ICAN CITIZ5S4.<#a#f.>  ,CONTR>Y TO ! RECEIV$ WISDOM ?AT ECONOMIC UND]DEVELOPM5T IS ! F\NT ( T]RORISM1 =M] ,C,I,A CASE (FIC] ,M>C ,SAGEMAN F\ND 9 A /UDY ( #agb ,AL ,QA$A T]RORI/S ?AT ! MAJORITY W]E MIDDLE TO UPP] CLASS1 WELL $UCAT$1 M>RI$ ) *ILDR51 & OCCUPI$ PR(ESSIONAL OR SEMIPR(ESSIONAL POSITIONS1 (T5 AS 5G9E]S1 >*ITECTS1 SCI5TI/S & DOCTORS4 ,9 ,BRITA91 SUICIDE ATTACK]S :O KILL$ FIFTY-SIX & 9JUR$ SEV]AL HUNDR$ ON ! ,LONDON ,UND]GR\ND & BUSSES ON ,JULY #g1 #b#e1 CAME NOT FROM ,SAUDI ,>ABIA BUT FROM ,DEWSBURY & ,LE$S4 ,! W\LD-BE MURD]]S :O TRI$ TO DETONATE A NAIL BOMB 9 A ,LONDON NI<TCLUB 9 #bg 9CLUD$ A HI<LY TRA9$ & ,BRITI%-BORN ,NATIONAL ,HEAL? ,S]VICE DOCTOR4 

,?ANKS TO ! SPREAD ( TE*NOLOGY--:I* CAN BE AS SIMPLE AS CELL PHONES & F]TILIZ]--& 9=MATION ON ! ,9T]NET1 IT IS N[ /RAI<T=W>D = SMALL GR\PS ( EXTREMI/S TO KILL L>GE NUMB]S4 ,9 ,JAPAN1 POLICE DISCOV]$ ?AT ! ,AUM ,%9RIKYO SECT HAD ! CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE ! DEADLY N]VE GAS S>9 9 A]OSOL =M4 ,HAD !Y *OS5 TO USE ?IS ME?OD1 ! FANATICAL GR\P C\LD HAVE KILL$ MANY HUNDR$S4 ,9/EAD1 !Y *OSE TO DEPLOY ! LESS TOXIC LIQUID =M ( ! AG5T1 BUT /ILL KILL$ SCORES & HORRIBLY 9JUR$ MANY MORE4 

,9 ,OKLAHOMA1 ,T]RY ,NI*OLS & ,TIMO?Y ,MC,VEI< KILL$ FIVE HUNDR$ & 9JUR$ ?\S&S ) A TRUCK BOMB ASSEMBL$ AT A CO/ ( LESS ?AN @s#e14 ,AFT] M\NT+ ATTEMPT$ ATTACKS 9 #ba TO DETONATE PACKAGE BOMBS ON SEV]AL AIRL9]S1 ! ,YEM5I BRAN* ( ,AL ,QA$A 7,A,Q,A,P7 ANN\NC$ ?AT 0,OP]ATION ,HEMORRHAGE0 WAS P>T ( A NEW APPROA* ES*EW+ MAJOR ATTACKS1 & 9/EAD SETT+ \T TO CAUSE 0DEA? BY A ?\S& CUTS10 /AT+ ?AT 0,TO BR+ D[N ,AM]ICA WE DO NOT NE$ TO /RIKE BIG10 & ADD+ ?AT ! TOTAL BILL = ! P>CEL BOMB OP]ATION WAS A M]E @s#d1#b1 BUT ?AT IT 0WILL )\T A D\BT CO/ ,AM]ICA & O!R ,WE/]N C\NTRIES BILLIONS ( DOLL>S 9 NEW SECURITY MEASURES4 ,?IS IS :AT WE CALL LEV]AGE40.<#a#g.> 

,SOME #g1 TO #h1 LI<T WEAPONS >E PRODUC$ EV]Y YE>1 ADD+ TO ! VA/ /OCK ( WEAPONS ALREADY 9 CIRCULATION1 AS MANY WEAPONS REMA9 9 USE DECADES AFT] !IR MANUFACTURE--,TALIBAN FI<T]S C>RY ,A,K-#d#gS PRODUC$ 9 ! #a#i#fS OR E>LI]4.<#a#h.>  ,C\NTRIES LIKE ,AU/RIA1 ,CANADA1 ! ,U,K & ,U4,S4 JO9 ,NOR? ,KOREA1 ,*9A & ,RUSSIA AS ! L>GE/ PRODUC]S ( !SE WEAPONS1 ! PRIM>Y MEANS ( CONFLICT WORLDWIDE4 ,! ANNUAL AU?ORIZ$ TRADE 9 SU* WEAPONS EXCE$S @s#f BILLION A YE>4.<#a#i.>  ,! ,SMALL ,>MS ,SURVEY N[ RECKONS ?AT GLOBALLY !RE >E NE>LY #i MILLION LI<T WEAPONS1 SOME ( EV] GREAT] SOPHI/ICATION3 SNIP] RIFLES DEADLY AT TWO MILES' RANGE2 MAN-PORTABLE MISSILES ?AT CAN D[N AIRL9]S2 M9ES ?AT CAN S9K CRUISE L9]S4 ,9 ,MEXICO1 DRUGS TRAFFICK]S HAVE US$ SUBM>9ES & ANTITANK MISSILES 9 !IR W>S ) EA* O!R & ! AU?ORITIES4 

,BUT IT IS NOT ONLY ! GR[+ UBIQUITY ( WEAPONS & T]RORISM--:AT'S 9 ! BACKPACK ( ?AT MAN D[N ! RAILROAD C>8--?AT ?REAT5 \R S5SE ( SAFETY & WELL-BE+4 ,9 ,BRITA91 ! MILLIONS ( ,C,C,T,V CAM]AS BROADCA/ !IR [N MESSAGE ( \R LACK ( TRU/ 9 ONE ANO!R4 ,SOME CAM]AS N[ BE> L\DSPEAK]S TO BROADCA/ !IR CORRECTIONAL MESSAGE TO ! 0ANTISOCIAL40 ,9 SOME CITY C5T]S1 AU?ORITIES DEPLOY NOISE-MAK+ DEVICES :OSE DET]R5T SCREE* CAN BE HE>D ONLY BY ! Y\NG1 LIKE DOGS OR RATS ALREADY DESIGNAT$ AS 0TR\BLEMAK]S40 ,POLICE >E BEG9N+ TO DEPLOY UNMANN$ DRONES ) HI<-RESOLUTION CAM]AS TO MONITOR C> TRAFFIC & ! POPULATION1 AS DEF5SE COMPANIES PU% = MILIT>Y TE*NOLOGY TO BE ADOPT$ 9 POLIC+4 ,SOME ( ! DRONES C>RY L\DSPEAK]S ) :I* TO RELAY 9/RUCTIONS TO ! CIVILIAN POPULACE4.<#b.>  ,IT IS REPORT$ ?AT ! ,LONDON #bab ,OLYMPICS WILL BE MONITOR$ BY ,ROYAL ,AIR ,=CE 0,REAP]0 UNMANN$ COMBAT AIR VEHICLES 7,U,C,A,VS71 HI!RTO DEPLOY$ 9 ,AF<ANI/AN TO ATTACK 9SURG5TS4 

,MEAN:ILE1 9 ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES1 NE>LY F\R ?\S& F$]AL1 /ATE & LOCAL C\NT]T]RORISM AG5CIES MONITOR ! POPULATION1 :ILE ?IRTY ?\S& (FICIALS >E EMPLOY$ SOLELY TO MONITOR TELEPHONE & O!R COMMUNICATIONS1 CREAT+1 9 ! WORDS ( ,! ,WA%+TON ,PO/1 0A NEW LEVEL ( GOV]NM5T SCRUT9Y0 ( ITS CITIZ5S4 ,?\S&S ( ,AM]ICANS >E 9CLUD$ 9 A VA/ DATABASE1 9CLUD+ MANY :O HAVE NEV] BE5 ACCUS$ ( ANY WRONGDO+4.<#b#a.> 

,BUT ! 9TRUSIV5ESS ( SU* MEASURES DOES LITTLE TO LESS5 ! EVID5T T5SION 9 PUBLIC SPACES1 NOR DET] R&OM1 ALMO/ CASUAL VIOL5CE4 ,9 #b#h1 ,KEV9 ,TRIPP HAD AN >GUM5T ) A /RANG] 9 A SUP]M>KET *ECK-\T QUEUE 9 ,S\? ,LONDON4 ,! >GUM5T ESCALAT$4 ,TRIPP WAS PUN*$ TO ! GR\ND1 SUFF]+ S]I\S HEAD 9JURIES4 ,HE DI$ LAT] 9 ! HOSPITAL4 ,9 ,BALTIMORE 9 #b#a1 ONE MAN KILL$ ANO!R ) A *UNK ( CONCRETE DUR+ AN >GUM5T OV] A P>K+ SPACE4 

,RESE>* DATA %[ ?AT COMMUNITY LIFE 9 ,BRITA91 & ,AM]ICA1 IS DET]IORAT+4 ,MEASUR+ ! NUMB] ( PEOPLE 9 AN >EA :O >E S+LE1 ?OSE :O LIVE ALONE1 ! NUMB]S 9 PRIVATE R5T$ ACCOMMODATION & ?OSE RESID5T = LESS ?AN A YE>1 RESE>*]S F\ND ?AT ALL COMMUNITIES 9 ,BRITA9 W]E 0LESS ROOT$0 ?AN !Y W]E ?IRTY YE>S E>LI]4.<#b#b.>  ,COMP>+ DATA FROM A C5SUS TAK5 9 #a#i#g#a1 RESE>*]S AT ! ,UNIV]SITY ( ,%EFFIELD F\ND SUB/ANTIALLY HI<] LEVELS ( 0ROOTLESSNESS0 & 0ANOMIE0 9 CONTEMPOR>Y COMMUNITIES4 ,COMM5T+ ON ?IS DATA1 ! RESE>* LEAD]1 ,PR(ESSOR ,DANIEL ,DORL+1 SAID1 0,EV5 ! WEAKE/ COMMUNITIES 9 #aiga W]E /RONG] ?AN ANY COMMUNITY N[40 ,N9ETY-SEV5 P]C5T ( COMMUNITIES /UDI$ HAD BECOME MORE FRAGM5T$ OV] ! LA/ ?REE DECADES4 0,!SE TR5DS MAY BE L9K$ TO HI<] LIKELIHOODS ( FE>FULNESS BECAUSE WE >E LESS LIKELY TO SEE & !RE=E UND]/& EA* O!RS' LIVES40 

,9 ! ,U4,S41 OV] A SIMIL> P]IOD1 ! RATE AT :I* ,AM]ICANS 9VITE PEOPLE TO !IR HOMES HAS DECL9$ BY #de P]C5T4 ,9 HIS CLASSIC /UDY ,B[L+ ,ALONE1 ,ROB]T ,PUTNAM REPORT$ 9DICES ( DISCOHESION & SOCIAL FRAGM5TATION RIS+ ACROSS ! BO>D4 ,= 9/ANCE1 MEMB]%IP ( *APT]-BAS$ ORGANIZATIONS1 :]E MEMB]S ATT5D REGUL> MEET+S & P>TICIPATE 9 SOCIAL ACTIVITIES LIKE ! ,ROT>Y ,CLUB1 ! ,MASONS1 ! ,N,A,A,C,P1 ,BOY & ,GIRL ,SC\TS1 ETC41 HALV$ 9 ! LA/ FIFTY YE>S4 ,O!RS REPORT ?AT ,AM]ICANS >E ALSO--UNSURPRIS+LY--LONELI]4 ,BETWE5 #aihe & #b#d1 ! NUMB] ( ,AM]ICANS :O SAID !Y HAD NO CLOSE CONFIDANTS TRIPL$4 ,S+LE-P>5T H\SEHOLDS >E ON ! RISE1 & ! ,U4,S4 ,C5SUS E/IMATES ?AT #c P]C5T MORE ,AM]ICANS WILL LIVE ALONE 9 #ba ?AN DID SO 9 #a#i#h4.<#b#c.> 

,AS IF !SE DATA W]E NOT DISMAL 5\<1 IT SEEMS TOO ?AT ! V]Y GR\ND ON :I* WE /& IS LESS FIRM ?AN BE=E4 ,MANK9D FOOLI%LY BELIEV$ ?AT NATURE1 ONCE CONQU]$1 W\LD REMA9 QUIESC5T 9 \R PLANS4 ,RIS+ SEA LEVELS HAVE ALREADY REQUIR$ ! EVACUATION--=EV]--( SEV]AL L[-LY+ ISL&S4 ,9 ,AU/RALIA1 =E/ FIRES RAGE ) A NEW & T]RIFY+ F]OCITY1 CONSUM+ :OLE T[NS4 ,EV5 ! SKEPTICAL NOTICE GREAT] VOLATILITY 9 ! WEA!R--EV]Y?+'S HOTT] & COLD]1 & WETT] & W9DI]--?AN IT US$ TO BE4 ,?IS TOO IS CONSI/5T ) SCI5CE'S PR$ICTIONS4 ,?IS VOLATILITY FE$S A DEEP] DISCONNECTION BETWE5 MAN & HIS 5VIRONM5T4 ,= ! FIR/ TIME EV]1 MORE PEOPLE N[ DWELL 9 CITIES ?AN ! C\NTRYSIDE4 ,! URBAN MAJORITY N[ B>ELY 5C\NT] :AT !IR =EBE>S TOOK = GRANT$3 TREES1 FRE% AIR1 BIRDSONG1 SIL5CE4 ,LIVES >E LIV$ \T 9 A FRANTIC1 NOISY HECTICNESS2 FULFILLM5T IS DI/ANT1 ) PEACE & ESCAPE DREAM$ (1 SOMETIMES PUR*AS$1 BUT ALL TOO R>ELY EXP]I5C$4 

,?IS LI/ IS SO DEPRESS+ ?AT TOGE!R !SE PROBLEMS (F] A %E] & 9TIMIDAT+ CLIFF FACE1 UPON :I* !RE APPE>S NO H&HOLD1 NO PUR*ASE AT ALL4 ,! TEMPTATION IS SIMPLY TO SWIT* (F1 TUNE \T1 ESCAPE4 

,& 9DE$ ADV]TIS+ (F]S US A TANTALIZ+ VISION ( ?AT ESCAPE1 A CEASELESS PROMISE TO LEAVE ! BURD5SOME EV]YDAY & W&] 9TO SUNLIT UPL&S3 0,GO =?60 SAYS ONE ADV]T = JEANS1 ) AN EVOCATIVE IMAGE ( A Y\NG MAN %IRTLESS 9 A FIELD ( WAV+ GRASS4 ,!SE MESSAGES CLAIM NOT ONLY TO SELL US JEANS BUT TO SOLVE \R ALL TOO OBVI\S1 IF NEV] TO BE ADMITT$1 EXI/5TIAL CRISIS3 ,?AT ALL ?IS--! MOD]N CONDITION ( PROSP]ITY1 A SORT ( PEACE1 A SORT ( FRE$OM--IS SIMPLY NOT 5\<4 ,! YE>N+ = MORE1 = DI/RACTION1 NEV] QUITE GOES AWAY H[EV] MU* IS PUR*AS$1 H[EV] MANY HOLIDAYS >E TAK54 

,?IS HUNG] IS ALL BUT EXPLICIT 9 ! ADV]TIS+ 7,GO =?6 ,F9D Y\RSELF6 ,*OOSE FRE$OM671 BUT CAN NEV] BE CONFESS$ 9 A CULTURE :]E \R >GUM5TS--CAPITALISM1 DEMOCRACY-->E SUPPOS$ TO HAVE WON1 & PROVIDE A CONV9C+1 EMPIRICALLY JU/IFI$ ANSW] TO ALL OBJECTIONS1 EXCEPT ! ONE WE CANNOT ADMIT TO4 

,BUT 9 ?IS EXI/5TIAL CRISIS1 ! FIR/ FRAGILE H&HOLD UPON ! CLIFF FACE ( 9TRACTABLE PROBLEMS IS REVEAL$4 ,! ANSW] TO BO? CRISES IS1 9 FACT1 ! SAME4 ,& IT IS SIMPLE4 ,IT IS EMBODI$ 9 ONE WORD3 AG5CY4 ,AG5CY OV] EV5TS--! FEEL+ ( CONTROL--IS A GROSS ABS5CE 9 ! CONTEMPOR>Y CONDITION4 ,RECAPTUR+ IT IS AVAILABLE ?R\< ONE SIMPLE ME*ANISM3 ACTION4 ,ACTION TO REASS]T CONTROL OV] EV5TS 9 \R LIVES4 ,& ?IS 9 A NUT%ELL IS ! SIMPLE ESS5CE ( ! PHILOSOPHY TO BE (F]$ H]E4 ,WE LACK CONTROL2 WE NE$ TO TAKE IT BACK4 

,! 9CR$IBLE & SEISMIC *ANGES ( ! LATE TW5TIE? & E>LY TW5TY-FIR/ C5TURY HAVE =C$ DRAMATIC & SOMETIMES REVOLUTION>Y *ANGES 9 ALMO/ EV]Y REALM ( HUMAN ACTIVITY--F9ANCE1 TE*NOLOGY1 CULTURE--SAVE ONE1 POLITICS4 ,9 ?IS MO/ CRUCIAL =UM1 ! 9/ITUTIONS & HABITS ACQUIR$ 9 DIFF]5T TIMES HAVE 5DUR$1 EV5 :5 !IR EFFECTIV5ESS IS LESS & LESS EVID5T4 ,ON ! CONTR>Y1 ! EVID5CE IS ACCUMULAT+ ?AT !SE 9H]IT$ BODIES & RULES >E LESS & LESS ABLE TO COMPREH5D & >BITRATE ! =CES N[ SWIRL+ >\ND US4 

,SOME?+ ELSE IS DESP]ATELY NE$$4 ,?AT NECESSITY HAS BE5 >TICULAT$ BY MANY BUT NONE HAS (F]$ A SOLUTION EXCEPT MORE ( ! SAME1 POLITICS AS USUAL3 PA!TIC CALLS = MORE 0POLITICAL WILL0 TO ADDRESS ?IS OR ?AT PROBLEM2 CELEBRITY-5DORS$ 0S+LE ISSUE0 CAMPAIGNS = ! PUBLIC TO PRESSURE !IR REPRES5TATIVES TO ADDRESS ONE P>TICUL> CRISIS OV] O!RS2 SUP]FICIAL ONL9E CAMPAIGNS TO ADDRESS SOME DEEP & POISON\S MALAISE1 LIKE />VATION OR *ILD SLAV]Y4 ,SOME BELIEVE ?AT TE*NOLOGY ALONE WILL DELIV] ! NECESS>Y REVOLUTION1 BUT H]E TOO IT IS CLE> ?AT TE*NOLOGY'S EFFECTS >E (T5 AS MALIGN AS B5IGN1 S]V+ ! DICTATORIAL AS MU* AS ! DEMOCRATIC4 ,A MORE FUNDAM5TAL %IFT IS NE$$4 

,ONE TELLTALE SIGN IS ! 9CREAS+ NUMB] ( POLITICIANS :O N[ PROMISE TO 0*ANGE POLITICS0 ITSELF4 ,9 #b#h1 IT WAS ,B>ACK ,OBAMA2 9 ,BRITA91 IT WAS ! ,CONS]VATIVE_/,LIB]AL ,DEMOCRAT COALITION ( #ba :I* PROMIS$ TO *ANGE ! V]Y NATURE ( ! SY/EM4 ,9 ,AM]ICA1 ! *ANGE-!-SY/EM S5TIM5T IS N[ EXPRESS$ BY ! ,TEA ,P>TY MOVEM5T1 ) ITS DEM& TO 0TAKE BACK \R GOV]NM5T40 ,& JU/ AS SURELY1 ! ,LABOR ,P>TY 9 ,BRITA91 N[ 9 OPPOSITION AFT] ?IRTE5 YE>S 9 GOV]NM5T1 WILL DEVELOP A NEW CLAIM1 ?AT IT TOO WILL 0*ANGE ! SY/EM0 IF ONLY VOT]S GIVE !M A *ANCE4 ,! PATT]N IS A CLE> ONE4 ,POLITICIANS CAN SMELL ! FRU/RATION1 & MU/ RESPOND TO IT1 BUT >E SURELY DOOM$4 ,) EA* ELECTORAL CYCLE1 ! DISILLUSIONM5T APPE>S GREAT]1 DATA %[ ?AT VOT]S *OP & *ANGE P>TIES ) GREAT] FREQU5CY1 :ILE TURN\T FALLS /EADILY 9 ALL DEMOCRACIES1 ) ONLY ! OCCASIONAL UPW>D 0BLIP10 LIKE ! SPUTT]+ ( A DY+ FIRE4 

,?IS REVOLUTION IS AS PR(\ND AS IT IS SIMPLE4 ,EVID5CE & RESE>* >E N[ SUGGE/+ ?AT ! MO/ IMPORTANT AG5T ( *ANGE IS \RSELVES4 ,AT A /ROKE1 ! PREVAIL+ NOTION ?AT ! 9DIVIDUAL IS IMPOT5T 9 ! FACE ( ! WORLD'S COMPLEX & MANIFOLD PROBLEMS IS TURN$ ON ITS HEAD4 ,9/EAD1 ! 9DIVIDUAL IS REVEAL$ AS A P[]FUL MOTOR ( *ANGE1 (F]+ ! PROSPECT ( IMM5SE CONSEQU5CES = POLITICS & ! WORLD1 &1 NO LESS1 = !MSELVES4 

,I ONCE BELIEV$ 9 ! CAPABILITY & RI<TNESS ( 5LI<T5$ GOV]NM5T SO F]V5TLY ?AT ,I W5T TO WORK = IT4 ,I WAS A ,BRITI% DIPLOMAT1 9 AN 9/ITUTION & A SY/EM :I* WAS F\ND$ ON A DEEP BELIEF ?AT /ATE (FICIALS LIKE ME C\LD UND]/& & >BITRATE ! WORLD EFFECTIVELY1 = ! B5EFIT ( ! LESS 9=M$ MASSES4 ,I NO LONG] BELIEVE ?IS4 ,?IS DISILLUSIONM5T CAME NOT FROM IDEOLOGICAL CONV]SION1 BUT EXP]I5CE4 

,9 MY WORK ON MANY ( ! WORLD'S MO/ WORRY+ PROBLEMS1 9CLUD+ CLIMATE *ANGE1 T]RORISM & ! W>S 9 ,AF<ANI/AN & ,IRAQ 7,I WAS RESPONSIBLE = BO? ISSUES = ! ,U,K AT ! ,UNIT$ ,NATIONS71 IT BECAME SL[LY CLE> TO ME ?AT GOV]NM5T WAS UNABLE1 BY ITS V]Y NATURE1 TO COMPREH5D & MANAGE !SE =CES EFFECTIVELY4 ,:Y WILL BECOME CLE>1 BUT 9 %ORT ,I REALIZ$1 DIMLY & SL[LY1 A PR(\ND & 9TR9SIC DEFICIT ( GOV]NM5TS3 ?AT !Y >E REQUIR$ TO TAKE :AT IS COMPLEX--REALITY--& TURN IT 9TO SIMPLI/IC PRON\NCEM5TS & POLICY1 ! BETT] TO CONV9CE ! POPULATION ?AT GOV]NM5T HAS MATT]S 9 H&4 ,PEOPLE 9 GOV]NM5T >E NOT BAD OR /UPID1 ON ! CONTR>Y2 BUT ! CONTRACT BETWE5 PEOPLE & GOV]NM5T =CES !M TO CLAIM SOME?+ :I* NO S5SIBLE P]SON %\LD CLAIM1 ?AT GOV]NM5T--ANYONE6--CAN UND]/& & PR$ICT ! MASSIVE COMPLEXITY ( ! CONTEMPOR>Y WORLD1 & MANAGE IT ON \R BEHALF4 ,EV]Y POLITICIAN MU/ CLAIM TO ! VOT]S ?AT !Y CAN 9T]PRET ! WORLD1 & PRODUCE C]TA9 EFFECTS1 JU/ AS ! (FICIALS WORK+ = !M MU/ PRET5D ?AT !Y CAN TOO4 ,I KN[ ?IS BECAUSE ,I DID IT4 

,I SAW H[ 9 LOOK+ AT PLACES LIKE ! ,MIDDLE ,EA/1 & BY EXT5SION ! :OLE WORLD1 GOV]NM5TS W]E =C$ TO R$UCE HUGELY COMPLICAT$ & DYNAMIC SITUATIONS 9TO SIMPLI/IC MODELS1 US & !M1 SECURITY V]SUS ?REAT1 JU/ AS !Y W]E REQUIR$ TO PROJECT ! MANIFOLD NE$S ( !IR [N DIV]SE PEOPLES 9TO SIMPLE & >TIFICIALLY 9V5T$ SETS ( 09T]E/S40 ,SU* A PROCESS IS 9H]5TLY FALSE1 REQUIR+ GOV]NM5TS--& (FICIALS LIKE ME--TO CREATE /ORIES & POLICIES ?AT (F] CLE>1 /RAI<T=W>D & !RE=E (T5 V]Y SIMPLI/IC SOLUTIONS4 ,!N1 TO JU/IFY !SE /ORIES1 !IR (FICIALS MU/ SEEK \T ! FACTS TO SUIT ! POLICY1 ! V]Y OPPOSITE ( A MORE VALID EMPIRICAL ME?OD--:]E WE OBS]VE ! WORLD1 !N RESPOND ACCORD+LY4 ,GOV]NM5TS HAVE IT ! WRONG WAY >\ND4 

,I GLADLY TOOK P>T 9 SU* PROCESSES1 WRIT+ SPEE*ES & TALK+ PO9TS1 & >GU+ 9 VICI\S NEGOTIATION TO CLAIM ?AT ,SADDAM'S ,IRAQ WAS A ?REAT1 ?AT HIS REGIME'S OV]?R[ W\LD DELIV] /ABILITY & SPREAD DEMOCRACY ACROSS ! ,MIDDLE ,EA/4 ,ON ,AF<ANI/AN1 ,I WROTE EMBASSY TELEGRAMS FROM A ,KABUL FRE%LY LIB]AT$ FROM ! ,TALIBAN1 EXPLA9+ H[ DEMOCRACY 0,AF<AN /YLE0 W\LD BR+ PEACE & PROSP]ITY TO ! ,AF<AN PEOPLE1 CONV5I5TLY OV]LOOK+ ! REALITY ?AT MU* ( ,AF<ANI/AN REMA9$ UNLIB]AT$ FROM ! ,TALIBAN'S GRIP & ?AT ! DEMOCRATIC GOV]NM5T WE PROCLAIM$ WAS 9 FACT L>GELY \R [N CREATION1 \R [N FANTASY ( :AT DEMOCRACY %\LD LOOK LIKE1 RA!R ?AN NECESS>ILY :AT ! LOCAL PEOPLE REALLY WANT$4 ,AFT] FIFTE5 YE>S AS A DIPLOMAT1 ,I WAS HI<LY SKILL$ 9 WRIT+ CABLES & REPORTS & POLICY SUBMISSIONS ?AT 5DLESSLY REAFFIRM$ \R V]SION ( EV5TS1 (T5 )\T ! B5EFIT ( ANY KN[L$GE FROM ! GR\ND AT ALL4 ,9 FIVE YE>S WORK+ ON ,IRAQ1 NOT ONCE HAD ,I SET FOOT 9 ! C\NTRY1 YET AT ! ,U,N4 ,I WAS CALL$ ,BRITA9'S ,IRAQ 0EXP]T40 ,I WAS NOT ALONE 9 SU* IGNORANCE1 NOR 9 ! >ROGANCE ?AT1 DESPITE IT1 GOV]NM5T C\LD DECL>E ) CONFID5CE :AT WAS HAPP5+ OR :AT MI<T HAPP5 9 SU* PLACES4 ,ONLY AFT] MU* SUBSEQU5T SL[ & SOMETIMES PA9FUL REFLECTION DID ,I COME TO !SE BROAD] CONCLUSIONS AB\T ! 9TR9SIC AMORALITY1 BUT ALSO 9CAPABILITY1 ( GOV]NM5T4 

,I WAT*$ DRAMATIC =CES AT PLAY 9 ! WORLD1 & FELT RIS+ FRU/RATION AT ! SEEM+ 9ABILITY ( GOV]NM5T1 OR 9DE$ ANYONE1 TO (F] MEAN+FUL & PLAUSIBLE SOLUTIONS4 ,AS POLITICAL VIOL5CE SPREAD1 & ! CR$IT CRUN* EXPLOD$1 ,I WAT*$ DESP]ATE POLITICIANS1 SOME ( !M FRI5DS1 AS !Y >GU$ TO PRET5D ?AT !Y MI<T UND]/&1 MI<T CONTROL !SE =CES--T]RORISM1 ! /RESSES ( GLOBALIZATION1 ! DET]IORAT+ NATURAL 5VIRONM5T4 ,I WAT*$ ! GR[+ ANGRY *ORUS 9 PUBLIC GA!R+S & ON ! ,9T]NET1 DEM&+ ACTION1 *ANGE1 SOME?+1 ) EV] MORE BELLIG]5T RHETORIC1 BUT NEV] !MSELVES (F]+ SOLUTIONS BEYOND A REJECTION ( ! CURR5T COHORT ( L\SY POLITICIANS4 

,& ,I POND]$ *ANGE ITSELF1 H[ TO REACT TO ?IS VA/LY COMPLEX WORLD 9 A WAY ?AT MI<T WORK1 ?AT MI<T PROVIDE ! SATISFACTION ( F9D+ REAL TRACTION UPON ! <A/LY %E] CLIFF FACE ( PROBLEMS4 ,& ,I REALIZ$ ?AT P]HAPS ! WOR/ DEFICIT ( GOV]NM5T ITSELF WAS ?IS3 ,9 CLAIM+ TO >BITRATE ! WORLD'S PROBLEMS1 UN9T5TIONALLY IT 5C\RAGES \R [N 9ACTION & DETA*M5T4 ,& 9 ?AT DETA*M5T1 RAGE & FRU/RATION HAS F]M5T$ DANG]\SLY4 ,9 ! DISEMBODI$ ANONYMITY ( ! ,9T]NET1 OR ! VAPID *ATT] ( COMM5TATORS & NEWSREAD]S1 & 9 ! CEASELESS DEM& = GOV]NM5T & POLITICIANS TO ACT--DO SOME?+6--,I SAW H[ \R OP9IONS HAVE BECOME YET MORE POL>IZ$1 AN ALI5ATION FROM EA* O!R EXAC]BAT$ BY ! MOBILITY & ROOTLESSNESS ( MOD]N ECONOMIES4 ,! PROBLEM IS ALWAYS SOMEONE ELSE'S1 NEV] \RS1 TO SOLVE4 

,& YET IT IS ACTION--& ONLY ACTION--?AT *ANGES ?+S4 ,:E!R 9 ! HI/ORY ( ! BATTLE = CIVIL RI<TS 9 ,AM]ICA'S ,S\? OR ! ,FRANCO-,RUSSIAN W>S1 OR 9 ! CONTEMPOR>Y RESE>* ( SOCIAL SCI5TI/S & NETWORK !ORI/S1 ! SAME & ANCI5T TRU? IS REPEAT$3 ,IT IS ! ACTION ( 9DIVIDUALS :I* HAS ! MO/ EFFECT ON ?OSE >\ND !M1 ON !IR CIRCUM/ANCES1 & ?US ! :OLE WORLD4 ,:E!R 9 ,G&HI'S SALT M>* TO FREE ,9DIA FROM COLONIAL RULE1 OR A GR\P ( M5 TRY+ TO /OP MUGG+S 9 !IR NEI<BORHOOD 9 ,NEW ,YORK ,CITY1 IT IS ! EXPRESSION ( CONVICTION ?R\< ACTION ?AT HAS ! MO/ P[]FUL IMPACT UPON EA* O!R1 \R SURR\ND+S1 & 9DE$ \R [N WELL-BE+4 ,! SCALE ( ! WORLD'S DIFFICULTIES--! %E] CLIFF FACE--& ! MAGNITUDE ( GLOBALIZATION PRODUCE A P>ALYZ+ S5SE ( IMPOT5CE & FRU/RATION4 ,BUT 9 FACT1 A WORLD ?AT IS MORE 9T]CONNECT$ ?AN EV] BE=E1 :]E EA* P]SON IS ONLY A FEW L9KS AWAY FROM ANYONE ELSE1 MEANS ?AT ACTIONS 9 \R [N MICROCOSMOS CAN HAVE GLOBAL CONSEQU5CES4 

,!SE /ORIES & IDEAS WILL BE EXPLOR$ 9 ?IS BOOK3 FACTS1 RESE>* & /ORIES ?AT TOGE!R SUGGE/ A RADICAL PHILOSOPHY ( H[ TO CREATE A BETT] WORLD1 ONE ?AT MORE CLOSELY REFLECTS ! CURR5T REALITY ?AN ! EASY BUT DANG]\S ASSUMPTION ?AT WE CAN LEAVE IT ALL TO GOV]NM5T TO FIX4 ,?IS PHILOSOPHY C\LD FIT UND] ! BROAD S*OOL ( ?\<T KN[N AS 0AN>*ISM10 A T]M COMMONLY ASSOCIAT$ ) VIOL5CE & NIHILISM--MORE :AT IT IS AGA9/1 ?AN :AT IT IS =4 ,& M]E OPPOSITION TO GOV]NM5T1 AU?ORITY & HI]>*Y IS CLE>LY 9SUFFICI5T AS A SOLUTION4 ,?IS BOOK HAS A MORE POSITIVE VISION1 PRES5T$ 9 DETAIL$ PR9CIPLES TO GUIDE ACTION4 ,IT IS NOT PROPOS+ A VIOL5T OV]?R[ ( GOV]NM5T1 BUT A MU* G5TL] REVOLUTION--9 ! WAY WE ?9K AB\T ! WORLD1 & H[ WE--\RSELVES--MI<T !RE=E RESPOND TO IT4 ,*ANG+ \R [N APPROA* IS CRITICAL3 EMBODY+ \R POLITICAL BELIEFS 9 EV]Y ACTION4 ,*ANG+ ! SELF MAY *ANGE ! WORLD4 ,9 ALL ! HAZE & *ATT]1 R$ISCOV] :AT Y\ TRULY BELIEVE 91 !N ACT4 ,& FOLL[+ ?AT TRANS=MATION1 ANO!R NECESS>Y %IFT--NEGOTIAT+ DIRECTLY ) ONE ANO!R1 RA!R ?AN LEAV+ IT TO DI/ANT 9/ITUTIONS4 ,9 CONTRA/ TO ! P>ALYZES ( MOD]N LEGISLATURES1 TOO (T5 DOM9AT$ BY ! 9T]E/S ( ! P[]FUL RA!R ?AN ! MASS1 COLLECTIVE DECISION MAK+1 :E!R 9 ,NEW ,ORLEANS OR ,BRAZIL1 HAS EMPHATICALLY %[N ! B5EFITS ( %>$ DEBATE & RESPONSIBILITY3 RESPECT = ONE ANO!R1 = FACTS1 BUT ABOVE ALL AGREEM5T UPON BETT]1 FAIR] & MORE 5DUR+ SOLUTIONS4 

,9 A WORLD :]E GOV]NM5T 9FLU5CE IS 9 9EXORABLE DECL9E1 & O!R TRANSNATIONAL =CES ASS]T !MSELVES1 SOME B5EFIC5T BUT SOME MALIGN1 !RE IS LITTLE *OICE BUT TO TAKE ON ! BURD5 ( ACTION \RSELVES4 ,IF WE DO NOT1 O!RS SURELY WILL1 :E!R CRIM9AL MAFIAS ) WORLDWIDE REA*1 GLOBAL T]RORI/ MOVEM5TS OR MULT9ATIONAL COMPANIES & BANKS ) NO CONC]N BUT !IR [N PR(IT4 ,?IS BOOK (F]S SOME SIMPLE PO9T]S TO :AT ?AT ACTION MI<T COMPRISE--CONVICTION1 ACTION1 CONSULTATION--) SOME 9SPIR+ /ORIES ( H[ !SE PR9CIPLES HAVE WORK$ BE=E4 ,BUT ?IS IS NO HI/ORICAL SURVEY2 IT IS AN ATTEMPT TO LOOK AT ! WORLD AS IT ACTUALLY IS1 NOT AS WE OR GOV]NM5TS MI<T WI% IT TO BE1 & DESIGN A PLAN ( ACTION TO RESPOND4 ,IT IS ABOVE ALL A MANIFE/O AB\T H[ TO ACT--ME?OD--NOT A PRESCRIPTION ( :AT 5D-/ATE OR UTOPIAN SY/EM TO SEEK4 ,NO BOOK CAN (F] SOLUTIONS TO EV]Y PROBLEM1 ?\< !RE >E SEV]AL SUGGE/IONS H]E4 ,BUT ?AT H[ IS ! KEY1 =1 AS WE %ALL SEE1 ! ME?OD IS ! PO9T--! MEANS >E ! 5DS4 ,= 9 ?AT ME?OD1 !RE >E EXTRAORD9>Y PRIZES TO BE WON--NOT ONLY ! ACCOMPLI%M5T ( ! DESIR$ GOAL1 BUT A GREAT] S5SE ( COOP]ATION1 RESPECT & COMMUNITY ) \R FELL[ HUMAN BE+S1 & A DEEP] S5SE ( \R [N SATISFACTION & PURPOSE1 NE$S ?AT >E ALL BUT IGNOR$ 9 ! CURR5T OBSESSION ) MAT]IAL WELL-BE+1 /ATUS & CELEBRITY4 ,IT IS A HUMBLE & V]Y PRACTICAL MANIFE/O1 ?\< ITS IDEALS >E TRANSC5D5T4 

,9 ! CURR5T CRISIS !RE >E SMALL BUT GLIMM]+ SIGNALS ?AT PO9T ! WAY =W>D4 ,!SE SIGNALS >E BUT R>ELY NOTIC$ BY ?OSE :O DEF5D ! CURR5T ORD]1 BUT ! LESSONS ( ?IS NEW PHILOSOPHY >E ALL >\ND US1 IF WE C>E TO LOOK4 ,Y\ WON'T F9D ?IS TEA*+ 9 ! ACADEMY1 OR 9 ECONOMI/S' PR$ICTIONS OR POLITICIANS' SPEE*ES4 

,FROM 3 ,!,AN>*I/,LIBR>Y4ORG4 

,*RONOLOGY 3 
,FEBRU>Y #a#d1 #bba 3 ,9TRODUCTION -- ,ADD$4 

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