,SITUATION 9 ,BEL>US 
,AN>*I/ P]SPECTIVE BRIEFLY 

,PEOPLE 3 

,AU?OR 3 ,ANONYM\S 

,TEXT 3 

,F9ALLY1 WE FACE ! \TRAGE ( ,BEL>USIAN PEOPLE 9 ! /REETS4 ,! 9CREASE ( RESI/ANCE IS 5ORM\S4 ,MANY PEOPLE SAY ?AT SU* AN UPRIS+ WAS NEV] SE5 BE=E DUR+ ! RULE ( ,ALEX&] ,LUKA%5KO4 ,!SE ?REE NI<TS1 PROBABLY ALL ! WORLD HAS SE5 CR[DS ( PEOPLE GIV+ FI<T TO ! POLICE SPECIAL =CES1 US+ B>RICADES1 BURN+ TIRES & ,MOLOTOVS4 

,! POLICE 7OR 0MILITIA0 9 ,SOVIET-FA%ION$ ,BEL>US7 REACTS ) GREAT VIOL5CE4 ,MANY PEOPLE GOT S]I\SLY 9JUR$ & !RE IS ONE CONFIRM$ KILL$ PROTE/]4 

,!RE IS ALSO ! CALL = ! ,G5]AL ,/RIKE ISSU$ BY ! OPPOSITION4 ,H[ SUCCESSFUL IT WILL BE IS YET TO BE SE54 ,BUT !RE >E FIR/ CONFIRM$ REPORTS ( /RIKES AT SEV]AL ,/ATE-[N$ 5T]PRISES TODAY 7,AUGU/ #a#b74 

,AS IT (T5 HAPP5S 9 ,EA/]N ,EUROPE1 IT WAS ELECTIONS & ELECTORAL FRAUD ?AT S]V$ AS ! />T] = PEOPLE'S UNRE/4 ,H[EV]1 DEEP] ROOTS ( ! SITUATION >E LONG AUTOCRATIC RULE ( ! PRESID5T1 POV]TY1 LACK ( PROSPECTS & OPPORTUNITIES4 ,A BIG ROLE 9 ! CURR5T REVOLT IS ALSO PLAY$ ALSO BY ! 9HUMAN POLICY ( ! GOV]NM5T DUR+ ! ,CORONAVIRUS EPIDEMIC4 ,AU?ORITIES DECID$ TO SIMPLY IGNORE IT & MADE SEV]AL SC&AL\S /ATEM5TS4 ,?IS 5D$ UP ) A WAVE ( 9FECTION & ALSO A HUGE GRASSROOTS ORGANIZ+ ( ! SOCIETY AGA9/ ! DANG] ( ! VIRUS4 

,BEL>USIAN ,MAIDAN8 

,( C\RSE1 ONE ( ! FIR/ IMPRESSIONS 9 \R M9DS IS TO COMP>E ! CURR5T PROTE/S TO ! ,UKRA9IAN ,MAIDAN4 ,!RE >E C]TA9 DIFF]5CES4 ,FIR/ ( ALL1 9 ,BEL>US1 !RE IS NO OPTION YET TO ORGANIZE A SORT ( 0CAMP ( PROTE/]S10 A FREE ZONE1 AS ! RE> ( ! PROTE/1 :I* WE SAW FROM ,KIEV TO ,SEATTLE4 ,MILITIA & O!R 09T]NAL =CES0 >E /ILL MU* MORE VIOL5T & 9 CONTROL ( ! SITUATION 9 COMP>ISON ) ,MAIDAN4 

,EV5 MORE IMPORTANT IS ! LACK ( /RUCTUR$ POLITICAL =CES ( ! OPPOSITION 9 ,BEL>US4 ,9 ,UKRA9E1 WE HAD PL5TY4 ,! REASON IS DE FACTO /ATE MONOPOLY ON POLITICS & CONT9\S REPRESSIONS4 ,9 CONTRA/ ) ,UKRA9E1 ! REAL F>-RI<T IS V]Y M>G9AL 9 ,BEL>US4 ,!RE >E SOME 0NATIONAL DEMOCRATS0 :O >E ACTUALLY CLOSE TO RI<T W+ LIB]ALS1 PROMOT+ 0,WE/]N ORI5TATION10 0M>KET ECONOMY0 & NATIONAL ID5TITY ) EMPHASIS ON DI/ANC+ FROM ,RUSSIA4 

,! LACK ( POLITICAL =CES IS ! WEAKNESS FROM ONE PO9T ( VIEW4 ,H[EV]1 AT ! SAME TIME1 IT OP5S SPACE = MORE POPUL> SPONTANEITY & MANUV]1 LESS DEP5D5CE FROM ! LEAD]S ( 0ALT]NATIVE E/ABLI%M5T40 ,& ! MO/ IMPORTANT ( ALL -- ?IS SITUATION LEAVES ! DOOR OP5 = DEVELOPEM5T ( NEW POLITICAL =CES & 5TITIES4 

,9 ?IS POLITICAL L&SCAPE1 AN>*I/S >E MORE VISIBLE ?AN 9 ,UKRA9E OR ,RUSSIA4 ,9 OPPOSITIONAL CIRCLES1 !Y HAVE ! REPUTATION ( QUITE 0H>DCORE0 5EMIES ( ! REGIME :O SUFF]$ V]Y /RONG REPRESSIONS1 :I* IS TRUE1 & ALSO >E ALWAYS 9 ! FRONTL9E ( ! RESI/ANCE4 ,! REV]SE ( ?IS IMAGE IS ?AT AN>*I/S >E SE5 MORE AS ET]NAL FI<T]S1 :I* CAN BE A SORT ( 0RAM0 ( ! *ANGES1 BUT !N >E SUPPOS$ TO GIVE WAY TO MORE CONV5TIONAL POLITICIANS4 

,= BETT] UND]/&+ ( CURR5T SITUATION1 IT IS ALSO IMPORTANT TO NOTICE ?AT SEV]AL CURR5T OPPOSITO9AL C&IDATES = PRESID5CY1 ,VIKTOR ,BAB>IKO & ,VAL]Y ,TSEPKALO1 >E (T5 SUSPECT$ TO BE ,PUT9 PROXIES4 ,?IS V]SION LOOKS QUITE REALI/IC ACCORD+ TO !IR BACKGR\ND4 ,VIKOR ,BABRIKO1 BE=E HIS PRESID5TIAL CAMPAIGN1 WAS ! HEAD ( A ,RUSSIAN-[N$ BANK & ,VAL]Y ,TSEPKALO1 EX-DIPLOMAT 9 ,LUKA%5KO'S /ATE APP>ATUS1 FLEW TO ,RUSSIA :5 IT BECAME DANG]\S = HIM TO /AY 9 ,BEL>US4 

,FROM RIOT TO REVOLUTION 

,TODAY ! :OLE PROTE/ MOVEM5T %[S A V]Y SIMPLI/IC DEM&3 RESIGN ( ,LUKA%5KO & NEW 0HONE/0 ELECTIONS4 ,IT HELPS TO MA9TA9 ! SUP]FICIAL UNITY ( ! PROTE/]S4 ,BUT SURELY1 ?IS SITUATION CANNOT LA/ LONG4 

,! SPECIFIC ( ,BEL>US IS /ATE-[N]%IP ( ! HUGE P>T ( ! ECONOMY4 ,IT IS ! BASEM5T = EXTRACT+ WEAL? BY /ATE BUREAUCRACY & CAPITALI/S CLOSE TO ! RUL+ CLIQUE4 

,IT IS HI<LY PR$ICTABLE ?AT ONCE EI!R PRO-,WE/]N OR PRO-,RUSSIAN POLITICIANS >E 9 P[] !Y'LL TRY TO LAUN* L>GE-SCALE PRIVATIZATION & TRANS=MATION ?IS M]ELY ,/ATE-CAPITALISM 9TO ! ONE RUL$ BY EXT]NAL ACTORS1 I4E1 9T]NATIONAL MONET>Y ORGANIZATIONS & ,RUSSIAN BUS9ESS-ELITES4 

,9 ?IS CONTEXT1 ! PROGRAM & ! CALL ( REVOLUTION>Y =CES %\LD BE BO? CLE>LY ANTIAU?ORIT>IAN 7,LUKA%5KO ,M,U,/ GO7 & ALSO SOCIALLY-CONC]N$4 ,WE NE$ TO C\NT] ! <O/ ( PRIVATIZATION BY PROMOT+ ! TURN+ ( /ATE-[N$ 5T]PRISES 9TO MUNICIPAL & COLLECTIVELY-RAN ONES1 DEC5TRALIZATION & DEMOCRATIZATION ( DIFF]5T SPH]E ( SOCIAL LIFE3 SELF-DEF5SE1 HEAL?C>E1 $UCATION4 ,AT ! SAME TIME1 ALL SOCIAL OBLIGATIONS = FREE ACCESS TO DIFF]5T S]VICES MONOPOLIZ$ BY ! /ATE TODAY %\LD BE PROMOT$ & DEVELOP$4 

,TO BE %ORT3 IF AN>*I/S ( ,BEL>US WILL BE ABLE TO PLAY KEY & ORGANIZ+ ROLES 9 ! DEVELOPM5T ( ! POPUL> UPRIS+ 7:ILE ALL OPPOSITION LEAD]S >E CLE>LY CONFUS$ N[71 !N !Y HAVE SEV]AL PROSPECTS4 ,AS A M9IMUM1 TO PRES5T ACTIVELY ! AN>*I/ MOVEM5T & ITS MESSAGE1 TO MAKE IT KN[N BROADLY )9 ! POPULATION4 ,AS A M$IUM GOAL1 TO BECOME SIGNIFICANT POLITICAL ACTORS1 :I* WILL 9FLU5CE ! SOCIAL DEVELOPEM5T ( ! NEW ,BEL>US 9 T]MS M5TION$ 9 ! PREVI\S P>AGRAPH1 TO TAKE A FOO?OLD 9 9FRA/RUCTURE1 M$IA-SPH]E & SOCIETY = RAPID FUR!R POLITICAL DEVELOPEM5T4 ,AS A MAXIMUM444 :O KN[S \R REAL LIMITS8 

,FROM 3 ,!,AN>*I/,LIBR>Y4ORG4 

,*RONOLOGY 3 
,JANU>Y #c1 #bba 3 ,SITUATION 9 ,BEL>US -- ,ADD$4 
,JANU>Y #g1 #bbb 3 ,SITUATION 9 ,BEL>US -- ,UPDAT$4 

 FILE G5]AT$ FROM 3  
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