,P>T #a1 ,*APT] #b 
,HORROR ,BEYOND ,DESCRIPTION3 ,! ,LATE/ ,PHASE ( ! 0,W> ON ,T]ROR0 

,PEOPLE 3 

,AU?OR 3 ,NOAM ,*OMSKY 

,TEXT 3 

,HORROR ,BEYOND ,DESCRIPTION3 ,! ,LATE/ ,PHASE ( ! 0,W> ON ,T]ROR0 

  

,C4 ,J4 ,P,O,L,Y,*,R,O,N,I,\3 ,I W\LD LIKE TO />T BY HE>+ Y\R ?\<TS ON ! LATE/ DEVELOPM5TS ON ! W> AGA9/ T]RORISM1 A POLICY ?AT DATES BACK TO ! ,REAGAN YE>S & WAS SUBSEQU5TLY TURN$ 9TO A DOCTR9E ( ,ISLAMOPHOBIC 0CRUSADE0 BY ,GEORGE ,W4 ,BU%1 ) SIMPLY 9E/IMABLE CO/ TO 9NOC5T HUMAN LIVES & A/ONI%+LY PR(\ND EFFECTS = 9T]NATIONAL LAW & WORLD PEACE4 ,! W> AGA9/ T]RORISM IS SEEM+LY 5T]+ A NEW & P]HAPS MORE DANG]\S PHASE AS O!R C\NTRIES HAVE JUMP$ 9TO ! FRAY1 ) DIFF]5T POLICY AG5DAS & 9T]E/S ?AN ?OSE ( ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES & SOME ( ITS ALLIES4 ,FIR/1 DO Y\ AGREE ) ! ABOVE ASSESSM5T ON ! EVOLUTION ( ! W> AGA9/ T]RORISM1 &1 IF SO1 :AT >E LIKELY TO BE ! ECONOMIC1 SOCIAL1 & POLITICAL CONSEQU5CES ( A P]MAN5T GLOBAL W> ON T]ROR1 = ,WE/]N SOCIETIES 9 P>TICUL>8 

,N,O,A,M ,*,O,M,S,K,Y3 ,! TWO PHASES ( ! 0W> ON T]ROR0 >E QUITE DIFF]5T1 EXCEPT 9 ONE CRUCIAL RESPECT4 ,REAGAN'S W> V]Y QUICKLY TURN$ 9TO MURD]\S T]RORI/ W>S1 PRESUMABLY ! REASON :Y IT HAS BE5 0DISAPPE>$40 ,HIS T]RORI/ W>S HAD HIDE\S CONSEQU5CES = ,C5TRAL ,AM]ICA1 S\!RN ,AFRICA1 & ! ,MIDDLE ,EA/4 ,C5TRAL ,AM]ICA1 ! MO/ DIRECT T>GET1 HAS YET TO RECOV]1 ONE ( ! PRIM>Y REASONS--R>ELY M5TION$--= ! CURR5T REFUGEE CRISIS4 ,! SAME IS TRUE ( ! SECOND PHASE1 R$ECL>$ BY ,GEORGE ,W4 ,BU% TW5TY YE>S LAT]1 9 #b#a4 ,DIRECT AGGRESSION HAS DEVA/AT$ L>GE REGIONS1 & T]ROR HAS TAK5 NEW =MS1 NOTABLY ,OBAMA'S GLOBAL ASSASS9ATION 7DRONE7 CAMPAIGN1 :I* BREAKS NEW RECORDS 9 ! ANNALS ( T]RORISM1 &1 LIKE O!R SU* EX]CISES1 PROBABLY G5]ATES D$ICAT$ T]RORI/S MORE QUICKLY ?AN IT KILLS SUSPECTS4 

,! T>GET ( ,BU%'S W> WAS AL-,QA$A4 ,ONE HAMM] BL[ AFT] ANO!R--,AF<ANI/AN1 ,IRAQ1 ,LIBYA1 & BEYOND--HAS SUCCE$$ 9 SPREAD+ JIHADI T]ROR FROM A SMALL TRIBAL >EA 9 ,AF<ANI/AN TO VIRTUALLY ! :OLE WORLD1 FROM ,WE/ ,AFRICA ?R\< ! ,LEVANT & ON TO ,S\!A/ ,ASIA4 ,ONE ( HI/ORY'S GREAT POLICY TRIUMPHS4 ,MEAN:ILE1 AL-,QA$A HAS BE5 DISPLAC$ BY MU* MORE VICI\S & DE/RUCTIVE ELEM5TS4 ,CURR5TLY1 ,I,S,I,S HOLDS ! RECORD = MON/R\S BRUTALITY1 BUT O!R CLAIMANTS = ! TITLE >E NOT F> BEH9D4 ,! DYNAMIC1 :I* GOES BACK MANY YE>S1 HAS BE5 /UDI$ 9 AN IMPORTANT WORK BY MILIT>Y ANALY/ ,&REW ,COCKBURN1 9 HIS BOOK ,KILL ,*A94 ,HE DOCUM5TS H[ :5 Y\ KILL ONE LEAD] )\T DEAL+ ) ! ROOTS & CAUSES ( ! PH5OM5ON1 HE IS TYPICALLY REPLAC$ V]Y QUICKLY BY SOMEONE Y\NG]1 MORE COMPET5T1 & MORE VICI\S4 

,ONE CONSEQU5CE ( !SE A*IEVEM5TS IS ?AT WORLD OP9ION REG>DS ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES AS ! GREATE/ ?REAT TO PEACE BY A L>GE M>G94 ,F> BEH9D1 9 SECOND PLACE1 IS ,PAKI/AN1 PRESUMABLY 9FLAT$ BY ! ,9DIAN VOTE4 ,FUR!R SUCCESSES ( ! K9D ALREADY REGI/]$ MI<T EV5 CREATE A BROAD] W> ) AN 9FLAM$ ,MUSLIM WORLD :ILE ! ,WE/]N SOCIETIES SUBJECT !MSELVES TO 9T]NAL REPRESSION & CURTAIL+ ( CIVIL RI<TS & GROAN UND] ! BURD5 ( HUGE EXP5SES1 REALIZ+ ,OSAMA B9 ,LAD5'S WILDE/ DREAMS1 & ?OSE ( ,I,S,I,S TODAY4 

,9 ,U,S POLICY DISCUSSIONS REVOLV+ >\ND ! 0W> ON T]ROR10 ! DIFF]5CE BETWE5 OV]T & COV]T OP]ATIONS HAS ALL BUT DISAPPE>$4 ,MEAN:ILE ! ID5TIFICATION ( T]RORI/ GR\PS & ! SELECTION ( ACTORS OR /ATES SUPPORT+ T]RORISM NOT ONLY APPE> TO BE TOTALLY >BITR>Y1 BUT ALSO 9 SOME CASES ! CULPRITS ID5TIFI$ HAVE RAIS$ QUE/IONS AB\T :E!R ! 0W> ON T]ROR0 IS 9 FACT A REAL W> AGA9/ T]RORISM OR :E!R IT IS A SMOKESCRE5 TO JU/IFY POLICIES ( GLOBAL CONQUE/4 ,= EXAMPLE1 :ILE AL-,QA$A & ,I,S,I,S >E UND5IABLE T]RORI/ & MURD]\S ORGANIZATIONS1 ! FACT ?AT ,U,S ALLIES SU* AS ,SAUDI ,>ABIA & ,QAT>1 & EV5 ,N,A,T,O MEMB] C\NTRIES SU* AS ,TURKEY1 HAVE ACTIVELY SUPPORT$ ,I,S,I,S IS EI!R IGNOR$ OR S]I\SLY D[NPLAY$ BY BO? ,U,S POLICY MAK]S & ! MA9/REAM M$IA4 ,DO Y\ HAVE ANY COMM5TS ON ?IS MATT]8 

,! SAME WAS TRUE ( ! ,REAGAN & ,BU% V]SIONS ( ! 0W> ON T]ROR40 ,= ,REAGAN1 IT WAS A PRETEXT TO 9T]V5E 9 ,C5TRAL ,AM]ICA1 9 :AT ,SALVADORAN ,BI%OP ,RIV]A Y ,DAMAS1 :O SUCCE$$ ! ASSASS9AT$ ,>*BI%OP ,OSC> ,ROM]O1 DESCRIB$ AS 0A W> ( EXT]M9ATION & G5OCIDE AGA9/ A DEF5SELESS CIVILIAN POPULATION40 ,IT WAS EV5 WORSE 9 ,GUATEMALA & PRETTY AWFUL 9 ,HONDURAS4 ,NIC>AGUA WAS ! ONE C\NTRY ?AT HAD AN >MY TO DEF5D IT FROM ,REAGAN'S T]RORI/S2 9 ! O!R C\NTRIES1 ! SECURITY =CES W]E ! T]RORI/S4 

,9 S\!RN ,AFRICA1 ! 0W> ON T]ROR0 PROVID$ ! PRETEXT TO SUPPORT ,S\? ,AFRICAN CRIMES AT HOME & 9 ! REGION1 ) A HORR5D\S TOLL4 ,AFT] ALL1 WE HAD TO DEF5D CIVILIZATION FROM 0ONE ( ! MORE NOTORI\S T]RORI/ GR\PS0 9 ! WORLD1 ,NELSON ,M&ELA'S ,AFRICAN ,NATIONAL ,CONGRESS4 ,M&ELA HIMSELF REMA9$ ON ! ,U,S T]RORI/ LI/ UNTIL #b#h4 ,9 ! ,MIDDLE ,EA/1 ! 0W> ON T]ROR0 CON/RUCT L$ TO SUPPORT = ,ISRAEL'S MURD]\S 9VASION ( ,LEBANON1 & MU* ELSE4 ,) ,BU%1 IT PROVID$ A PRETEXT = 9VAD+ ,IRAQ4 ,& SO IT CONT9UES4 

,:AT'S HAPP5+ 9 ! ,SYRIAN HORROR /ORY DEFIES DESCRIPTION4 ,! MA9 GR\ND =CES OPPOS+ ,I,S,I,S SEEM TO BE ! ,KURDS1 JU/ AS 9 ,IRAQ1 :]E !Y >E ON ! ,U,S T]RORI/ LI/4 ,9 BO? C\NTRIES1 !Y >E ! PRIME T>GET ( ! ASSAULT ( \R ,N,A,T,O ALLY ,TURKEY1 :I* IS ALSO SUPPORT+ ! AL-,QA$A AFFILIATE 9 ,SYRIA1 AL-,NUSRA ,FRONT4 ,! LATT] SEEMS H>DLY DIFF]5T FROM ,I,S,I,S1 ?\< !Y >E HAV+ A TURF BATTLE4 ,TURKI% SUPPORT = AL-,NUSRA IS SO EXTREME ?AT :5 ! ,P5TAGON S5T 9 SEV]AL DOZ5 FI<T]S IT HAD TRA9$1 ,TURKEY APP>5TLY AL]T$ AL-,NUSRA1 :I* 9/ANTLY WIP$ !M \T4 ,AL-,NUSRA & ! CLOSELY ALLI$ ,AHR> AL-,%AM >E ALSO SUPPORT$ BY ,U,S ALLIES ,SAUDI ,>ABIA & ,QAT>1 &1 IT SEEMS1 MAY BE GETT+ ADVANC$ WEAPONS FROM ! ,C,I,A4 ,IT'S BE5 REPORT$ ?AT !Y US$ ,T,[ 7!AT] ( W>7 ANTITANK WEAPONS SUPPLI$ BY ! ,C,I,A TO 9FLICT S]I\S DEFEATS ON ! ,ASSAD >MY1 POSSIBLY IMPELL+ ! ,RUSSIANS TO 9T]V5E4 ,TURKEY SEEMS TO BE CONT9U+ TO ALL[ JIHADIS TO FL[ ACROSS ! BORD] TO ,I,S,I,S4 

,SAUDI ,>ABIA 9 P>TICUL> HAS BE5 A MAJOR SUPPORT] ( ! EXTREMI/ JIHADI MOVEM5TS = YE>S1 NOT ONLY ) F9ANC+ BUT ALSO BY SPREAD+ ITS RADICAL ,ISLAMI/ ,WAHHABI DOCTR9ES ) ,KORANIC S*OOLS1 MOSQUES1 & CL]ICS4 ,) NO LITTLE JU/ICE1 ,MIDDLE ,EA/ CORRESPOND5T ,PATRICK ,COCKBURN DESCRIBES ! 0,WAHHABIZATION0 ( ,SUNNI ,ISLAM AS ONE ( ! MO/ DANG]\S DEVELOPM5TS ( ! ]A4 ,SAUDI ,>ABIA & ! ,EMIRATES HAVE HUGE1 ADVANC$ MILIT>Y =CES1 BUT !Y >E B>ELY 5GAG$ 9 ! W> AGA9/ ,I,S,I,S4 ,!Y DO OP]ATE 9 ,YEM51 :]E !Y >E CREAT+ A MAJOR HUMANIT>IAN CATA/ROPHE & V]Y LIKELY1 AS BE=E1 G5]AT+ FUTURE T]RORI/S = US TO T>GET 9 \R 0W> ON T]ROR40 ,MEAN:ILE1 ! REGION & ITS PEOPLE >E BE+ DEVA/AT$4 

,= ,SYRIA1 ! ONLY SLIM HOPE SEEMS TO BE NEGOTIATIONS AMONG ! MANY ELEM5TS 9VOLV$1 EXCLUD+ ,I,S,I,S4 ,?AT 9CLUDES REALLY AWFUL PEOPLE1 LIKE ,SYRIAN PRESID5T ,BA%> AL-,ASSAD1 :O >E NOT GO+ TO WILL+LY COMMIT SUICIDE & SO WILL HAVE TO BE 9VOLV$ 9 NEGOTIATIONS IF ! SPIRAL TO NATIONAL SUICIDE IS NOT TO CONT9UE4 ,!RE >E1 F9ALLY1 HALT+ /EPS 9 ?IS DIRECTION AT ,VI5NA4 ,!RE IS MORE ?AT CAN BE DONE ON ! GR\ND1 BUT A %IFT TO DIPLOMACY IS ESS5TIAL4 

,TURKEY'S ROLE 9 ! SO-CALL$ GLOBAL W> AGA9/ T]RORISM HAS TO BE SE5 AS ONE ( ! MO/ HYPOCRITICAL GE/URES 9 ! MOD]N ANNALS ( DIPLOMACY1 & ,VLADIMIR ,PUT9 DID NOT M9CE HIS WORDS FOLL[+ ! D[N+ ( ! ,RUSSIAN JET FI<T] BY LABEL+ ,TURKEY 0ACCOMPLICES ( T]RORI/S40 ,OIL IS ! REASON :Y ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES & ITS ,WE/]N ALLIES KN[+LY OV]LOOK C]TA9 ,GULF NATIONS' SUPPORT = T]RORI/ ORGANIZATIONS LIKE ,I,S,I,S1 BUT :AT IS ! REASON = NEGLECT+ TO QUE/ION ,TURKEY'S SUPPORT ( ,ISLAMIC FUNDAM5TALI/ T]RORISM8 

,TURKEY HAS ALWAYS BE5 AN IMPORTANT ,N,A,T,O ALLY ( GREAT GEO/RATEGIC SIGNIFICANCE4 ,?R\< ! #a#i#iS1 :5 ,TURKEY WAS C>RY+ \T SOME ( ! WOR/ ATROCITIES ANY:]E 9 ITS W> AGA9/ ITS ,KURDI% POPULATION1 IT BECAME ! LEAD+ RECIPI5T ( ,U,S >MS 7\TSIDE ,ISRAEL & ,EGYPT1 A SEP>ATE CATEGORY74 ,! RELATION%IP HAS OCCASIONALLY BE5 UND] /RESS1 MO/ NOTABLY 9 #b#c1 :5 ! GOV]NM5T ADOPT$ ! POSITION ( #ie P]C5T ( ! POPULATION & REFUS$ TO JO9 ! ,U,S ATTACK ON ,IRAQ4 ,TURKEY WAS BITT]LY CONDEMN$ = ?IS FAILURE TO UND]/& ! MEAN+ ( 0DEMOCRACY40 ,BUT G5]ALLY ! RELATION%IP HAS REMA9$ QUITE CLOSE4 ,REC5TLY1 ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES & ,TURKEY REA*$ AN AGREEM5T ON ! W> AGA9/ ,I,S,I,S3 ,TURKEY GRANT$ ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES ACCESS TO ! ,TURKI% BASES CLOSE TO ,SYRIA & 9 RETURN PL$G$ TO ATTACK ,I,S,I,S--BUT 9/EAD ATTACK$ ITS ,KURDI% 5EMIES4 

,:ILE ?IS MAY NOT BE A POPUL> VIEW ) MANY PEOPLE1 ,RUSSIA1 UNLIKE ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES1 SEEMS TO BE RE/RA9$ :5 IT COMES TO ! USE ( =CE4 ,ASSUM+ ?AT Y\ AGREE ) ?IS ASSUMPTION1 :Y DO Y\ ?9K ?IS IS ! CASE8 

,!Y >E ! WEAK] P>TY4 ,!Y DON'T HAVE EI<T HUNDR$ MILIT>Y BASES ?R\<\T ! WORLD1 C\LDN'T POSSIBLY 9T]V5E EV]Y:]E ! WAY ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES HAS DONE OV] ! YE>S1 OR C>RY \T ANY?+ LIKE ,OBAMA'S GLOBAL ASSASS9ATION CAMPAIGN4 ,! SAME WAS TRUE ?R\<\T ! ,COLD ,W>4 ,!Y C\LD USE MILIT>Y =CE NE> !IR BORD]S BUT C\LDN'T POSSIBLY HAVE C>RI$ \T ANY?+ LIKE ! ,9DO*9A W>S1 = EXAMPLE4 

,FRANCE SEEMS TO HAVE BECOME A FAVORITE T>GET ( ,ISLAMIC FUNDAM5TALI/ T]RORI/S4 ,:AT'S ! EXPLANATION = ?AT8 

,ACTUALLY1 MANY MORE ,AFRICANS >E KILL$ BY ,ISLAMIC T]RORISM4 ,9 FACT1 ,BOKO ,H>AM IS RANK$ HI<] ?AN ,I,S,I,S AS A GLOBAL T]RORI/ ORGANIZATION4.<#a.> ,9 ,EUROPE1 ,FRANCE HAS BE5 ! MAJOR T>GET1 9 L>GE P>T = REASONS GO+ BACK TO ! ,ALG]IAN W>4 

,ISLAMIC FUNDAM5TALI/ T]RORISM ( ! K9D PROMOT$ BY ,I,S,I,S HAS BE5 CONDEMN$ BY ORGANIZATIONS LIKE ,HAMAS & ,HEZBOLLAH4 ,:AT DIFF]5TIATES ,I,S,I,S FROM O!R SO-CALL$ T]RORI/ ORGANIZATIONS1 & :AT DOES ,I,S,I,S REALLY WANT8 

,WE HAVE TO BE C>EFUL AB\T :AT WE CALL 0T]RORI/ ORGANIZATIONS40 ,ANTI-,NAZI P>TISANS US$ T]ROR4 ,SO DID ,GEORGE ,WA%+TON'S >MY1 SO MU* SO ?AT A L>GE P>T ( ! POPULATION FL$ 9 FE> ( HIS T]ROR--NOT TO SPEAK ( ! ,9DIG5\S COMMUNITY1 = :OM HE WAS 0! T[N DE/ROY]40 ,IT'S H>D TO F9D A NATIONAL LIB]ATION MOVEM5T ?AT HASN'T US$ T]ROR4 ,HEZBOLLAH & ,HAMAS W]E =M$ 9 RESPONSE TO ,ISRAELI OCCUPATION & AGGRESSION4 ,BUT :ATEV] CRIT]IA WE USE1 ,I,S,I,S IS QUITE DIFF]5T4 ,IT IS SEEK+ TO C>VE \T T]RITORY ?AT IT WILL RULE & E/ABLI% AN ,ISLAMIC CALIPHATE4 ,?AT'S QUITE DIFF]5T FROM O!RS4 

,FOLL[+ ! ,P>IS MASSACRE ( ,NOVEMB] #b#a#e1 ,OBAMA /AT$ 9 A JO9T NEWS CONF]5CE ) ,FR5* ,PRESID5T ,HOLL&E ?AT 0,I,S,I,S MU/ BE DE/ROY$40 ,DO Y\ ?9K ?IS IS POSSIBLE8 ,IF YES1 H[8 ,IF NOT1 :Y NOT8 

,! ,WE/ DOES ( C\RSE HAVE ! CAPACITY TO SLAU<T] EV]YONE 9 ! ,I,S,I,S-CONTROLL$ >EAS1 BUT EV5 ?AT W\LDN'T DE/ROY ,I,S,I,S--OR1 V]Y LIKELY1 SOME MORE VICI\S MOVEM5T ?AT W\LD DEVELOP 9 ITS PLACE BY ! DYNAMIC ,I M5TION$ E>LI]4 ,ONE GOAL ( ,I,S,I,S IS TO DRAW ! 0CRUSAD]S0 9TO A W> ) ALL ,MUSLIMS4 ,WE CAN CONTRIBUTE TO ?AT CATA/ROPHE1 OR WE CAN TRY TO ADDRESS ! ROOTS ( ! PROBLEM & HELP E/ABLI% CONDITIONS UND] :I* ! ,I,S,I,S MON/ROSITY WILL BE OV]COME BY =CES )9 ! REGION4 

,=EIGN 9T]V5TION HAS BE5 A CURSE = A LONG TIME1 & IS LIKELY TO CONT9UE TO BE4 ,!RE >E S5SIBLE PROPOSALS AS TO H[ TO PROCE$ ON ?IS C\RSE1 = EXAMPLE1 ! PROPOSAL BY ,WILLIAM ,POLK1 A F9E ,MIDDLE ,EA/ S*OL> ) RI* EXP]I5CE NOT ONLY 9 ! REGION BUT ALSO AT ! HI<E/ LEVELS ( ,U,S GOV]NM5T PLANN+4.<#b.> ,IT RECEIVES SUB/ANTIAL SUPPORT FROM MO/ C>EFUL 9VE/IGATIONS ( ! APPEAL ( ,I,S,I,S1 NOTABLY ?OSE ( ,SCOTT ,ATRAN4 ,UN=TUNATELY1 ! *ANCES ?AT ! ADVICE WILL BE HE$$ >E SLI<T4 

,! POLITICAL ECONOMY ( ,U,S W>F>E SEEMS TO BE /RUCTUR$ 9 SU* A WAY ?AT W>S APPE> TO BE ALMO/ 9EVITABLE1 SOME?+ :I* ,PRESID5T ,DWI<T ,EIS5H[] WAS APP>5TLY AW>E ( :5 HE W>N$ US 9 HIS F>EWELL SPEE* ( ! DANG]S ( A MILIT>Y-9DU/RIAL COMPLEX4 ,9 Y\R VIEW1 :AT WILL IT TAKE TO MOVE ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES AWAY FROM MILIT>I/IC J+OISM8 

,IT IS QUITE TRUE ?AT SECTORS ( ! ECONOMY B5EFIT FROM 0MILIT>I/IC J+OISM10 BUT ,I DO NOT ?9K ?AT IS ITS MA9 CAUSE4 ,!RE >E GEO/RATEGIC & 9T]NATIONAL ECONOMIC CONSID]ATIONS ( GREAT IMPORT4 ,! ECONOMIC B5EFITS--ONLY ONE FACTOR--W]E DISCUSS$ 9 ! BUS9ESS PRESS 9 9T]E/+ WAYS 9 ! E>LY PO/-,WORLD ,W> ,I,I P]IOD4 ,!Y UND]/OOD ?AT MASSIVE GOV]NM5T SP5D+ HAD RESCU$ ! C\NTRY FROM ! ,DEPRESSION1 & !RE WAS MU* CONC]N ?AT IF IT W]E CURTAIL$1 ! C\NTRY W\LD S9K BACK 9TO DEPRESSION4 ,ONE 9=MATIVE DISCUSSION1 9 ,BUS9ESS ,WEEK 7,FEBRU>Y #a#b1 #a#i#d#i71 RECOGNIZ$ ?AT SOCIAL SP5D+ C\LD HAVE ! SAME 0PUMP-PRIM+0 EFFECT AS MILIT>Y SP5D+1 BUT PO9T$ \T ?AT = BUS9ESSM51 0!RE'S A TREM5D\S SOCIAL & ECONOMIC DIFF]5CE BETWE5 WELF>E PUMP-PRIM+ & MILIT>Y PUMP-PRIM+40 ,! LATT] 0DOESN'T REALLY ALT] ! /RUCTURE ( ! ECONOMY40 ,= ! BUS9ESSMAN1 IT'S JU/ ANO!R ORD]4 ,BUT WELF>E & PUBLIC WORKS SP5D+ 0DOES ALT] ! ECONOMY4 ,IT MAKES NEW *ANNELS ( ITS [N4 ,IT CREATES NEW 9/ITUTIONS4 ,IT R$I/RIBUTES 9COME40 ,& WE CAN ADD MORE4 ,MILIT>Y SP5D+ SC>CELY 9VOLVES ! PUBLIC1 BUT SOCIAL SP5D+ DOES1 & HAS A DEMOCRATIZ+ EFFECT4 ,= REASONS LIKE !SE1 MILIT>Y SP5D+ IS MU* PREF]R$4 

,PURSU+ ?IS QUE/ION AB\T ! L9K BETWE5 ,U,S POLITICAL CULTURE & MILIT>ISM A BIT FUR!R1 IS ! APP>5T DECL9E ( ,U,S SUPREMACY ON ! GLOBAL >5A MORE OR LESS LIKELY TO TURN FUTURE ,U,S PRESID5TS 9TO W>MONG]S8 

,! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES REA*$ ! PEAK ( ITS P[] AFT] ,WORLD ,W> ,I,I1 BUT DECL9E SET 9 V]Y SOON1 FIR/ ) ! 0LOSS ( ,*9A0 & LAT] ) ! REVIVAL ( O!R 9DU/RIAL P[]S & ! AGONIZ+ C\RSE ( DECOLONIZATION1 & 9 MORE REC5T YE>S ) O!R =MS ( DIV]SIFICATION ( P[]4 ,REACTIONS C\LD TAKE V>I\S =MS4 ,ONE IS ,BU%-/YLE TRIUMPHALISM & AGGRESSIV5ESS4 ,ANO!R IS ,OBAMA-/YLE RETIC5CE TO USE GR\ND =CES4 ,& !RE >E MANY O!R POSSIBILITIES4 ,! POPUL> MOOD IS NO SLI<T CONSID]ATION1 & ONE ?AT WE CAN HOPE TO 9FLU5CE4 

,%\LD ! LEFT SUPPORT ,B]NIE ,S&]S :5 HE CAUCUSES ) ! ,DEMOCRATIC ,P>TY8 

,I ?9K SO4 ,HIS CAMPAIGN HAS HAD A SALUT>Y EFFECT4 ,IT'S RAIS$ IMPORTANT ISSUES ?AT >E O!RWISE SIDE/EPP$ & HAS MOV$ ! ,DEMOCRATS SLI<TLY 9 A PROGRESSIVE DIRECTION4 ,*ANCES ?AT HE C\LD BE ELECT$ 9 \R SY/EM ( B\<T ELECTIONS >E NOT HI<1 &1 IF HE W]E1 IT W\LD BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT = HIM TO EFFECT ANY SIGNIFICANT *ANGE ( POLICIES4 ,! ,REPUBLICANS WON'T DISAPPE>1 & ?ANKS TO G]RYM&]+ & O!R TACTICS !Y >E LIKELY AT LEA/ TO CONTROL ! ,H\SE1 AS !Y HAVE DONE ) A M9ORITY ( VOTES = SOME YE>S1 & !Y >E LIKELY TO HAVE A /RONG VOICE 9 ! ,S5ATE4 ,! ,REPUBLICANS CAN BE C\NT$ ON TO BLOCK EV5 SMALL /EPS 9 A PROGRESSIVE--OR = ?AT MATT] EV5 RATIONAL--DIRECTION4 ,IT'S IMPORTANT TO RECOGNIZE ?AT !Y >E NO LONG] A NORMAL POLITICAL P>TY4 

,AS RESPECT$ POLITICAL ANALY/S ( ! CONS]VATIVE ,AM]ICAN ,5T]PRISE ,9/ITUTE HAVE OBS]V$1 ! =M] ,REPUBLICAN ,P>TY IS N[ A 0RADICAL 9SURG5CY0 ?AT HAS PRETTY MU* AB&ON$ P>LIAM5T>Y POLITICS1 = 9T]E/+ REASONS ?AT WE CAN'T GO 9TO H]E4 ,! ,DEMOCRATS HAVE ALSO MOV$ TO ! RI<T1 & !IR CORE ELEM5TS >E NOT UNLIKE MOD]ATE ,REPUBLICANS ( YE>S PA/--?\< SOME ( ,EIS5H[]'S POLICIES W\LD PLACE HIM AB\T :]E ,S&]S IS ON ! POLITICAL SPECTRUM4 ,S&]S1 !RE=E1 W\LD BE UNLIKELY TO HAVE MU* CONGRESSIONAL SUPPORT1 & W\LD HAVE LITTLE AT ! /ATE LEVEL4 

,NE$LESS TO SAY1 ! HORDES ( LOBBYI/S & WEAL?Y DONORS W\LD H>DLY BE ALLIES4 ,EV5 ,OBAMA'S OCCASIONAL /EPS 9 A PROGRESSIVE DIRECTION W]E MO/LY BLOCK$1 ?\< !RE MAY BE O!R FACTORS 9VOLV$1 P]HAPS RACISM2 IT'S NOT EASY TO ACC\NT = ! F]OCITY ( ! HATR$ HE HAS EVOK$ 9 O!R T]MS4 ,BUT 9 G5]AL1 9 ! UNLIKELY EV5T ?AT ,S&]S W]E ELECT$1 HIS H&S W\LD BE TI$--UNLESS1 UNLESS1 :AT ALWAYS MATT]S 9 ! 5D3 UNLESS MASS POPUL> MOVEM5TS W\LD DEVELOP1 CREAT+ A WAVE ?AT HE C\LD RIDE & ?AT MI<T 7& %\LD7 IMPEL HIM F>!R ?AN HE MI<T O!RWISE GO4 

,?AT BR+S US1 ,I ?9K1 TO ! MO/ IMPORTANT P>T ( ! ,S&]S C&IDACY4 ,IT HAS MOBILIZ$ A HUGE NUMB] ( PEOPLE4 ,IF ?OSE =CES CAN BE SU/A9$ BEYOND ! ELECTION1 9/EAD ( FAD+ AWAY ONCE ! EXTRAVAGANZA IS OV]1 !Y C\LD BECOME ! K9D ( POPUL> =CE ?AT ! C\NTRY BADLY NE$S IF IT IS TO DEAL 9 A CON/RUCTIVE WAY ) ! 5ORM\S *ALL5GES ?AT LIE AHEAD4 

,! COMM5TS ABOVE RELATE TO DOME/IC POLICIES1 ! >EAS HE HAS CONC5TRAT$ ON4 ,HIS =EIGN POLICY CONCEPTIONS & PROPOSALS SEEM TO ME TO BE PRETTY CONV5TIONAL LIB]AL ,DEMOCRAT4 ,NO?+ P>TICUL>LY NOVEL IS PROPOS$1 AS F> AS ,I CAN SEE1 9CLUD+ SOME ASSUMPTIONS ?AT ,I ?9K %\LD BE S]I\SLY QUE/ION$4 

,ONE F9AL QUE/ION4 ,:AT DO Y\ SAY TO ?OSE :O MA9TA9 ! VIEW ?AT 5D+ ! 0W> ON T]ROR0 IS NAIVE & MISGUID$8 

,SIMPLE3 ,:Y8 ,& A MORE IMPORTANT QUE/ION3 ,:Y DO Y\ ?9K ?AT ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES %\LD CONT9UE TO MAKE MAJOR CONTRIBUTIONS TO GLOBAL T]RORISM1 UND] ! GUISE ( A 0W> ON T]ROR08 

,ORIG9ALLY PUBLI%$ 9 ,TRU?\T1 ,DECEMB] #c1 #bae 

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,*RONOLOGY 3 
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